TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates (BO3) - LFL Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TLN Piratesof Solary, TLN Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked TLN Pirates17c12,295$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,204.8996048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd391…b109backed Solary57c10,173$5,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,844.9314046.4%65 W · 75 L-17.8wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed TLN Pirates41c9,842$4,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,800.312245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb035…ff78backed TLN Pirates60c6,442$3,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb99…fcc3backed TLN Pirates60c5,814$3,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,344.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Solary29c5,000$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.4917241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Solary41c4,940$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.131,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7dd…bcd0backed Solary36c3,100$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.992360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed TLN Pirates57c2,809$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.741,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Solary41c2,511$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.41,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd99b…50bebacked TLN Pirates48c1,837$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.926848.5%33 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed TLN Pirates42c1,684$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.6321953.4%117 W · 102 L+14.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked TLN Pirates18c1,676$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.4724554.3%133 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd1…afdbbacked Solary45c1,667$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Solary40c1,645$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.992,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed TLN Pirates56c1,570$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.2931953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked TLN Pirates65c1,352$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.6166559.5%396 W · 269 L+72.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe410…d4d1backed TLN Pirates19c1,337$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.8215352.9%81 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed TLN Pirates80c1,336$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.116637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf21…d34abacked Solary55c1,300$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71514461.8%89 W · 55 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed TLN Pirates67c1,250$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3997854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Solary50c1,205$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.221,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed TLN Pirates18c1,200$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98489347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed TLN Pirates64c1,158$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.651,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked TLN Pirates42c980$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.466843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed TLN Pirates57c955$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.4520644.7%92 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d80…e49fbacked TLN Pirates18c948.89$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.093528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5997…0beebacked TLN Pirates48c901.92$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4693745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked TLN Pirates48c881.01$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.8190537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed TLN Pirates17c869.57$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.4445338%172 W · 281 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked TLN Pirates50c765.07$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.642,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d6…e7acbacked TLN Pirates16c711$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.023040%12 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked TLN Pirates42c682.69$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.9614750.3%74 W · 73 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed TLN Pirates58c645.12$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.772,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed TLN Pirates47c625.77$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.2947838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Solary48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25082953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TLN Pirates42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2902,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed TLN Pirates73c499.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351675%12 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed TLN Pirates48c477.8$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.011,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Solary32c433.44$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.714552.4%76 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Solary56c400$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22614641.8%61 W · 85 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Solary67c397.56$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.134042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d14…36fdbacked Solary52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014346.2%66 W · 77 L+13.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+46.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f87…2b4dbacked Solary52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9204…7d5fbacked TLN Pirates65c379.37$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.331233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Solary56c365$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0540916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Solary51c355.54$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3320557.1%117 W · 88 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed TLN Pirates59c340.1$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.61,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed Solary57c338.84$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7514941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Solary56c322$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8221940.6%89 W · 130 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1407…e56cbacked Solary56c322$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8210936.7%40 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec21…33dcbacked Solary56c322$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.828137%30 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Solary56c322$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8222838.6%88 W · 140 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb0…9fdbbacked Solary56c322$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.823928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Solary57c312.99$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8619344%85 W · 108 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Solary39c304.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0446436.4%169 W · 295 L-24.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Solary56c300$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.425740.1%103 W · 154 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83bd…3f07backed TLN Pirates35c288.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.331145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick25cpaid+86.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d10…5990backed Solary36c274.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.311931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Solary30c273.55$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1218639.2%73 W · 113 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed TLN Pirates70c268.55$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.861,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Solary39c268.12$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8649841.6%207 W · 291 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked TLN Pirates40c266.37$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.651,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Solary42c265$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.561656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked Solary41c256.39$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5944846.2%207 W · 241 L+1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b68…4785backed TLN Pirates20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002548%12 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadeb…5850backed Solary30c248.53$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.933762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b39…8b50backed Solary41c243.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044850.7%227 W · 221 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed TLN Pirates42c242.86$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8610947.7%52 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Solary56c240$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.558042.4%246 W · 334 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TLN Pirates42c232.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.732,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf402…4c5abacked Solary45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015159.6%90 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Solary36c219.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0216043.1%69 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Solary56c218$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1163944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c9…f622backed Solary58c215.97$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.26540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed TLN Pirates59c202.59$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.051,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d86…ad9bbacked Solary55c201.05$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.584654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed TLN Pirates15c200.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.661,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Solary56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11216243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Solary56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11219846%91 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Solary56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11215743.3%68 W · 89 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5abe…d360backed Solary56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11216747.3%79 W · 88 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9845…9d6fbacked Solary56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11211844.9%53 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8206…4826backed Solary56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210142.6%43 W · 58 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5264…7eb9backed Solary56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11212040%48 W · 72 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2507…d5f2backed Solary50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b09…e4c2backed Solary50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010254.9%56 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed Solary45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9018831.4%59 W · 129 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Solary56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11219637.8%74 W · 122 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Solary56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11221839.4%86 W · 132 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4041…60f0backed Solary56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11216543%71 W · 94 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f95…bf8ebacked Solary56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11214642.5%62 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbb…0ac2backed Solary56c200$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11316242%68 W · 94 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked TLN Pirates42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11640741.5%169 W · 238 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…d485backed Solary56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11215343.8%67 W · 86 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f15…bf6ebacked Solary56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123324.2%8 W · 25 L-6.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed TLN Pirates17c199.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9939251.3%201 W · 191 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Solary53c199.98$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.993839.5%15 W · 23 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe916…02e8backed Solary52c192.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Solary62c188.34$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.794444.4%419 W · 525 L-31.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.