Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd90bf04ae86f8a0186a38db5d903f822f6a196ae7ee328ed2ec56c797902f89d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TLN Piratesof Solary, TLN Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked TLN Pirates | 43c | 7,649$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.99 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Solary | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.99 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TLN Pirates | 44c | 5,751$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.53 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Solary | 57c | 1,362$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.29 | 230 | 53.9%124 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Solary | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…afdbbacked Solary | 57c | 973.16$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Solary | 56c | 764.18$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.94 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Solary | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Solary | 57c | 515$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.55 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TLN Pirates | 43c | 482.96$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.88 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Solary | 57c | 392$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.56 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Solary | 57c | 374$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Solary | 56c | 317.44$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.77 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked TLN Pirates | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Solary | 57c | 142.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed TLN Pirates | 43c | 136.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc148…85eabacked Solary | 57c | 122.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Solary | 57c | 105.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked TLN Pirates | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Solary | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Solary | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed TLN Pirates | 42c | 74.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed TLN Pirates | 47c | 55.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Solary | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed TLN Pirates | 40c | 38.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…bb2cbacked Solary | 57c | 35.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed TLN Pirates | 43c | 33.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c4…a7ffbacked Solary | 58c | 32.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TLN Pirates | 44c | 28.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Solary | 55c | 27.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed TLN Pirates | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7971…c135backed TLN Pirates | 45c | 25.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Solary | 57c | 24.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Solary | 52c | 23.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…8b63backed Solary | 56c | 22.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…58d5backed Solary | 57c | 21.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsTLN Pirates won
- LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 WinnerTLN Pirates won
- LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 WinnerTLN Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.