TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x068c…8b63

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: WNBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10155.4%56 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Game Handicap: FUE (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5)backed Zeu5 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.89
LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Zeu5 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LRN Playoffsbacked Zeu5 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+175.3%+$126.27
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.56
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.17
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.32
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.7
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+30%+$7.74
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$7.03
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.83
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.54
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.48
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.86
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.