TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of G2, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$373,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$420,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1610…ae49backed Astralis28c58,284$16,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,373.313548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed G266c49,221$32,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,735.13666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed G267c39,783$26,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,128.2612249.2%60 W · 62 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed G266c18,134$11,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,165.624553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Astralis34c13,910$4,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,729.2532548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Astralis33c12,800$4,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,223.987250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed G273c10,000$7,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.6850054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Astralis33c7,904$2,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,608.3229046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Astralis1c6,569$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3769624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd0…c890backed Astralis31c6,157$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Astralis33c6,100$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01323938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis35c5,700$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.571,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2772…ac19backed Astralis33c5,698$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.448246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Astralis30c5,683$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.522,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Astralis33c5,509$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8187943%34 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed G267c5,351$3,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.9610749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked Astralis33c5,291$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.0310644.3%47 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed Astralis33c5,070$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.16560%39 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Astralis34c5,007$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.326952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Astralis33c4,117$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.542634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed Astralis33c4,089$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3366934.8%24 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed G265c3,598$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.2310850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G275c3,559$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.382,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Astralis25c3,527$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.4960434.1%206 W · 398 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked G268c3,200$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0399565.3%62 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed G267c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9909450%47 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed G267c2,998$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.414266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…30b6backed Astralis34c2,843$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Astralis15c2,776$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd99b…50bebacked Astralis33c2,740$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.21346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Astralis34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85045545.1%205 W · 250 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Astralis14c2,270$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.6972644.4%322 W · 404 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked G267c2,164$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.3914247.2%67 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Astralis32c2,154$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.0444343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Astralis2c2,078$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1921522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked G275c2,045$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.185658.9%33 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Astralis32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9815838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Astralis33c1,862$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.9432732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x521f…3344backed G275c1,645$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.276347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Astralis34c1,607$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.3736645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed Astralis17c1,600$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9215150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Astralis34c1,566$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.3846149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed G277c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34538868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Astralis33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4953053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked G268c1,495$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.518444%81 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed G266c1,471$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.631,01753.4%543 W · 474 L+65.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad1f…7f94backed Astralis19c1,396$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.864833.3%16 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5997…0beebacked Astralis33c1,392$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.361741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8be4…a700backed G267c1,350$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.55253.8%28 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Astralis4c1,303$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.573,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Astralis7c1,284$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.976663.6%42 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed G272c1,200$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3368652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93c1…f7c4backed Astralis32c1,189$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.561127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked G267c1,182$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.321,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G276c1,130$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.781,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc466…3f77backed Astralis35c1,107$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Astralis7c1,090$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.530123.3%70 W · 231 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a9b…7a35backed Astralis34c1,062$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3574940.8%20 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Astralis33c1,061$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35016949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed G277c1,029$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.131,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed Astralis3c1,019$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.098925.8%23 W · 66 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe45a…2399backed Astralis33c1,018$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.075446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked G266c1,014$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.2140253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Astralis33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33050846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Astralis36c999.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36027045.9%124 W · 146 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc865…2f6ebacked Astralis28c999.98$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.495425.9%14 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed G267c900.06$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.0215749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked G266c900$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30625651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Astralis34c895.47$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.4655043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked Astralis27c878.79$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24014544.8%65 W · 80 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked G270c858.51$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5116946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Astralis2c856.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.162,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked G279c759.49$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.495651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Astralis12c754$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.015,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0e2…4e8ebacked Astralis26c700$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2cd…3897backed Astralis35c632.76$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.542744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed G267c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19813454.5%73 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cf…427fbacked G267c591.67$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.251833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5acf…ead4backed Astralis34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004431.8%14 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Astralis34c582$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.885,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Astralis13c580.89$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6939064.4%251 W · 139 L+47.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked Astralis35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025045.2%113 W · 137 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked Astralis33c570$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.17536%27 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Astralis21c552.24$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9730236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked G280c547.13$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.252,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Astralis33c540$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.210946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf957…bcb6backed Astralis5c512.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.875837.9%22 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked G279c508.79$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.796560%39 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed G267c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651,06242.2%448 W · 614 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…dd56backed Astralis4c490.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed G267c454.36$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9427961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Astralis34c444.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5614546.9%68 W · 77 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Astralis34c441$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9412551.2%64 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Astralis33c439.58$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0642651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed Astralis5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042631.5%134 W · 292 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb40…d56dbacked Astralis3c400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked G266c388.26$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0122241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Astralis12c355$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.69735.1%34 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Astralis19c350.72$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5619443.3%84 W · 110 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed G277c341.16$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1740175.1%301 W · 100 L+20.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.