Lol · resolved market
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3764580530662ecee2e8fb7a3740a982e4e31076f06149203148636300e23189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Disguised, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Disguised | 0c | 30,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Disguised | 19c | 20,912$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.92 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Sentinels | 74c | 14,653$10,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.62 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Disguised | 15c | 12,221$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.13 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Sentinels | 77c | 10,160$7,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.28 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised | 24c | 5,675$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.94 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Disguised | 2c | 5,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Disguised | 18c | 4,707$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.86 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…d05abacked Sentinels | 72c | 4,140$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.49 | 219 | 68%149 W · 70 L | +28.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised | 28c | 4,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Disguised | 5c | 3,701$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.21 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…248bbacked Sentinels | 75c | 3,675$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…b109backed Sentinels | 72c | 3,257$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.16 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -18.0wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed Disguised | 33c | 3,072$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Sentinels | 70c | 2,859$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Disguised | 25c | 2,816$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.64 | 433 | 46.7%202 W · 231 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…9469backed Sentinels | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Disguised | 31c | 2,125$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.51 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe360…71fabacked Disguised | 32c | 2,122$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.23 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Disguised | 24c | 2,100$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.75 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Disguised | 26c | 2,018$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.5 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Disguised | 12c | 1,996$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 1,044 | 50.4%526 W · 518 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Sentinels | 74c | 1,928$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.36 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sentinels | 78c | 1,926$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.47 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Disguised | 27c | 1,818$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.97 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Sentinels | 72c | 1,794$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.01 | 190 | 63.2%120 W · 70 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Sentinels | 70c | 1,782$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.77 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Disguised | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Sentinels | 73c | 1,439$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.5 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Disguised | 36c | 1,427$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.63 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Disguised | 28c | 1,426$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.04 | 834 | 60.8%507 W · 327 L | +44.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Disguised | 25c | 1,361$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.84 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Disguised | 22c | 1,296$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.18 | 1,930 | 48.2%930 W · 1,000 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Disguised | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…aa5fbacked Disguised | 2c | 1,245$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 226 | 1.8%4 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Disguised | 26c | 1,142$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Disguised | 16c | 1,135$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.48 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed Disguised | 17c | 1,130$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.22 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Sentinels | 73c | 1,101$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.76 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Sentinels | 68c | 1,088$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.01 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Sentinels | 62c | 1,077$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.26 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…2e87backed Disguised | 10c | 1,044$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +13.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Disguised | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.76 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Disguised | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,203 | 35.7%430 W · 773 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Disguised | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 772 | 46.2%357 W · 415 L | +18.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed Disguised | 30c | 998.88$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.45 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Disguised | 5c | 982.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 629 | 42.4%267 W · 362 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Sentinels | 71c | 974$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.46 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +16.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1312…39cebacked Sentinels | 73c | 953.01$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.31 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Disguised | 22c | 898.36$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.86 | 849 | 42.5%361 W · 488 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Sentinels | 72c | 861.09$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.98 | 1,536 | 54.8%842 W · 694 L | +75.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Disguised | 6c | 850$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 550 | 10.4%57 W · 493 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Sentinels | 71c | 841.13$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.13 | 364 | 52.7%192 W · 172 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Disguised | 41c | 777.17$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.81 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Sentinels | 64c | 765.32$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.52 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Disguised | 27c | 753.9$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.86 | 1,917 | 42.3%810 W · 1,107 L | -44.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Disguised | 33c | 734.01$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Sentinels | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 214 | 58.9%126 W · 88 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…e082backed Disguised | 49c | 691.72$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.47 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…d5f9backed Disguised | 20c | 679.39$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Sentinels | 71c | 637.94$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…0b71backed Sentinels | 73c | 616.44$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Sentinels | 73c | 608.29$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Disguised | 14c | 606.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 653 | 59.4%388 W · 265 L | +70.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Sentinels | 60c | 600$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 524 | 38.9%204 W · 320 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Disguised | 29c | 599.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed Disguised | 29c | 577.26$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 259 | 49%127 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Sentinels | 71c | 564.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.08 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Disguised | 23c | 558.48$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Sentinels | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…4079backed Disguised | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Disguised | 7c | 486.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,441 | 43.4%625 W · 816 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Disguised | 28c | 456.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…5fb4backed Disguised | 3c | 450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Disguised | 30c | 444.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.38 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Disguised | 15c | 443$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed Disguised | 33c | 434.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +12.8wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Sentinels | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…291ebacked Sentinels | 72c | 414.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…1506backed Sentinels | 72c | 403.13$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 398 | 63.6%253 W · 145 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Disguised | 26c | 400$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.18 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sentinels | 74c | 397.26$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 1,054 | 47.2%497 W · 557 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Sentinels | 70c | 391.26$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Sentinels | 58c | 388.58$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Disguised | 34c | 374.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 448 | 51.8%232 W · 216 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Disguised | 26c | 361.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…3fc5backed Sentinels | 72c | 348.38$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sentinels | 46c | 344$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Disguised | 41c | 339.28$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Disguised | 33c | 325.39$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…3c36backed Disguised | 29c | 321.62$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 176 | 35.8%63 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Disguised | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Sentinels | 71c | 291.31$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Sentinels | 72c | 290.42$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 263 | 71.9%189 W · 74 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Sentinels | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 796 | 50.6%403 W · 393 L | +47.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Sentinels | 65c | 276.29$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c248backed Sentinels | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…f7ecbacked Disguised | 4c | 253.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 177 | 12.4%22 W · 155 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Disguised | 25c | 240.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 520 | 45%234 W · 286 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Disguised | 19c | 224.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonSentinels won
- LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerSentinels won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.