Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x848e2adfc0cba503edb80104029f5aca5213b54559e27f58988a9b076c9cafe6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 61c | 2,043$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.6 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 60c | 1,591$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.97 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 40c | 1,159$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.84 | 445 | 38.2%170 W · 275 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…ac8ebacked Over | 39c | 923.08$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Over | 39c | 912.82$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Under | 61c | 816.8$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.55 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Over | 39c | 526.26$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.24 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Over | 40c | 481.59$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 39c | 314.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.71 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 77c | 207.01$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…a00dbacked Under | 69c | 179$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 63c | 148.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 39c | 146$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Over | 39c | 128$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 64c | 114.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 153 | 62.1%95 W · 58 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 62c | 99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 73c | 94.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 221 | 65.6%145 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 39c | 87.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 1,301 | 47.2%614 W · 687 L | -32.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 20c | 81.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 38c | 72.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Over | 38c | 68.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +31.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 26c | 67.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 21c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,923 | 35.9%690 W · 1,233 L | -98.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed Over | 40c | 64.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 379 | 57.5%218 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 38c | 35.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 69c | 28.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 300 | 42.7%128 W · 172 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Under | 63c | 25.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 276 | 68.1%188 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 61c | 21.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Sentinels won
- LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonSentinels won
- LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerSentinels won
- LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerSentinels won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.