TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof Disguised, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,331
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,331 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a86…4998backed Disguised17c11,588$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.9118429.9%55 W · 129 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Disguised0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Disguised14c8,500$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.991,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed Sentinels79c7,500$5,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5758648.8%42 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee46…faa0backed Disguised21c7,095$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.043531.4%11 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Disguised21c3,852$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.915637.5%21 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Sentinels77c3,804$2,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.5359554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Disguised9c2,604$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.311,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Sentinels79c2,500$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52549940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce1…f3aabacked Disguised21c2,336$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005337.7%20 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb624…de17backed Disguised9c2,078$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1871643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Disguised24c2,019$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.3345338%172 W · 281 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Disguised21c1,804$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.81,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Disguised20c1,711$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.1114342%60 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed Disguised20c1,466$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.116529.2%19 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Sentinels80c1,308$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.6320146.8%94 W · 107 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Disguised15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18017439.1%68 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Disguised7c1,066$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.811,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Sentinels80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20066059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Disguised19c999.98$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sentinels78c951.5$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3329447.6%140 W · 154 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed Disguised6c849.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5155110.3%57 W · 494 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Sentinels79c768.61$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6262451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Sentinels79c720.72$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6811346.9%53 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe663…e9f8backed Disguised21c619.05$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012552.8%66 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Sentinels79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10562649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Disguised22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Sentinels78c474.36$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3665063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Disguised17c433.6$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.361,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Sentinels80c414.51$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.985442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Disguised22c408.27$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8263944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Sentinels78c401$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.22955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Sentinels79c392.78$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4889050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed Disguised8c388.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319233.7%31 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Disguised22c379.59$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5154529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Disguised20c365$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Sentinels77c342.48$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7796054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e97…0bd0backed Disguised18c307.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.152142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Sentinels79c304$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8419758.9%116 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Sentinels78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Disguised12c296.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.732,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x333d…e8b7backed Disguised21c292$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.321827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb835…2e51backed Disguised23c264$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.727140.8%29 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Disguised13c258.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4455628.6%159 W · 397 L-31.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d4a…0a8abacked Sentinels80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…d609backed Sentinels80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04e5…dd32backed Disguised18c248.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed Disguised7c243.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.045728.1%16 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Disguised22c239.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.672,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9d…7bbebacked Disguised21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Sentinels78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4460053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Disguised22c186.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.081,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Disguised21c170.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.783531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa52…865bbacked Disguised22c153.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.681030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Disguised22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3325640.6%104 W · 152 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e69…7a30backed Sentinels80c149.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.971978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e7b…f86cbacked Sentinels80c147.76$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3737…bfd1backed Disguised22c138.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5737957.5%218 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Sentinels80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2541060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed Disguised20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521844.5%97 W · 121 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf402…4c5abacked Sentinels80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2515159.6%90 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x493e…d38bbacked Sentinels80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick75cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf52b…d547backed Sentinels80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2519054.2%103 W · 87 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Sentinels80c124.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8835164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked Disguised22c118.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0850550.7%256 W · 249 L+34.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77b7…52bebacked Disguised23c113.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1518148.1%87 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Sentinels79c103.67$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7789943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Disguised29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2922355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Disguised24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2426048.8%127 W · 133 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43c6…6dc9backed Disguised21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218148.1%39 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbadb…a760backed Sentinels80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207358.9%43 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Disguised16c90.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.411,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Disguised22c82.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.183336.4%12 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Sentinels75c74.74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6896048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Sentinels79c71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.916653%35 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecba…65ecbacked Sentinels80c64.61$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.921478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Sentinels79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2966058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Sentinels80c62.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4727952%145 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda62…f654backed Disguised18c61.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed Disguised24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.453932.5%175 W · 364 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb79a…090cbacked Disguised21c52.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-60%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc714…0566backed Disguised20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Sentinels71c43.75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.691,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd548…d27abacked Disguised25c42.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.574531.1%14 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Sentinels79c41.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7635542.3%150 W · 205 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Sentinels80c36.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.324642.3%104 W · 142 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Sentinels79c35.76$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5138850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Sentinels78c32.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.218051.1%92 W · 88 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Sentinels78c31.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8714445.8%66 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdfb…9680backed Sentinels79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.653764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a8…9a5fbacked Sentinels80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.255667.9%38 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb15…8569backed Sentinels80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613075.4%98 W · 32 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91dc…ca3abacked Sentinels74c27.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.066446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Sentinels80c24.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.832867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Sentinels79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21,31847.3%624 W · 694 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9f…0c25backed Sentinels75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528353%150 W · 133 L+28.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+32.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Sentinels79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.996248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Sentinels80c18.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.718657%49 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Sentinels78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.31758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Sentinels78c14.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1210460.6%63 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.