Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x642052f0b79d9c799f5d31324842073e38e395f72f0207e830f2a360971a3443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Sentinels, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5286…0d47backed Sentinels | 52c | 10,100$5,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,802.17 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…3269backed Disguised | 48c | 7,853$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4d…0bd2backed Sentinels | 53c | 7,428$3,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,490.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Disguised | 46c | 4,990$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.53 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Sentinels | 54c | 4,212$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.5 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9036backed Disguised | 47c | 2,803$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.64 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Sentinels | 51c | 2,688$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.21 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Sentinels | 70c | 2,616$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.96 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Disguised | 45c | 2,611$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.97 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Sentinels | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Disguised | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Disguised | 48c | 1,608$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.68 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7d…df55backed Disguised | 47c | 1,511$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Disguised | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Sentinels | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.72 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Disguised | 47c | 1,223$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.39 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Disguised | 48c | 1,176$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.48 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sentinels | 57c | 1,079$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.32 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Sentinels | 67c | 1,033$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.91 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Disguised | 45c | 1,010$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.06 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Disguised | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.3 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sentinels | 51c | 929.39$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.4 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Sentinels | 55c | 904.47$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.01 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Sentinels | 53c | 834.95$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.58 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Disguised | 46c | 826.42$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.98 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Disguised | 36c | 761.94$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.3 | 230 | 53.9%124 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Sentinels | 54c | 666$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.36 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Sentinels | 51c | 510$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed Disguised | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Disguised | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Disguised | 45c | 488.27$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.15 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Disguised | 47c | 475.8$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Disguised | 46c | 463.28$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.96 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Sentinels | 55c | 457.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.69 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Sentinels | 55c | 450.91$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.91 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Disguised | 44c | 422.81$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.04 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Disguised | 48c | 416.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.77 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Disguised | 41c | 413.52$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.54 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Disguised | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Disguised | 33c | 378.8$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Disguised | 45c | 320.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.31 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Disguised | 47c | 298.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Sentinels | 52c | 288.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Disguised | 50c | 282.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.46 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…2737backed Sentinels | 59c | 264.41$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Disguised | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Disguised | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Sentinels | 56c | 209.78$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Disguised | 47c | 207.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Disguised | 47c | 204$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed Sentinels | 60c | 202$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Disguised | 35c | 189.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…2d13backed Sentinels | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Disguised | 48c | 179.29$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…a00dbacked Disguised | 32c | 179$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Disguised | 47c | 174.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Sentinels | 77c | 173.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Disguised | 6c | 169.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Disguised | 31c | 155.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Disguised | 35c | 153.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Disguised | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Sentinels | 54c | 148$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Disguised | 45c | 144.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Sentinels | 53c | 141.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…a635backed Disguised | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e03…27bfbacked Disguised | 49c | 137.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Disguised | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 45.2%176 W · 213 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Disguised | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Disguised | 46c | 117.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Sentinels | 53c | 107.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d79…0856backed Sentinels | 61c | 105$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Disguised | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Disguised | 46c | 102.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Sentinels | 50c | 100.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Sentinels | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Sentinels | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Sentinels | 55c | 90.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Sentinels | 52c | 88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…d954backed Disguised | 32c | 82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfb…9680backed Sentinels | 53c | 80.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…fb29backed Sentinels | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Disguised | 32c | 67.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Disguised | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Disguised | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 296 | 37.8%112 W · 184 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52a…6955backed Sentinels | 55c | 62.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Disguised | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…edc9backed Disguised | 47c | 53.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Disguised | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Sentinels | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…65dbbacked Sentinels | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…a760backed Sentinels | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…3b79backed Sentinels | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…1c8ebacked Sentinels | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…35c7backed Sentinels | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…a646backed Sentinels | 66c | 30.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Disguised | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sentinels | 55c | 27.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…c2d0backed Sentinels | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Disguised | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonSentinels won
- LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerSentinels won
- LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerSentinels won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.