TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa1c…e369

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
328
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT21546%99 W · 116 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 215 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.76
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$92.78
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+76%+$364.61
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$206.84
Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$277.51
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$425
Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$109.49
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.46
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.05
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 215 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10051%51 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,335Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+407.3%+$5,437.48
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$115.71
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$595
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$32.81
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$144.95
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+141.5%+$462.82
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$63.31
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$375.28
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$135.8
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.