TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fnaticof G2 Esports, Fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,395 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff80…9b4dbacked Fnatic43c15,310$6,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,726.6937245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports57c10,000$5,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,697.4491854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Fnatic41c7,836$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,623.1714342%60 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Fnatic40c4,714$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.7849940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Fnatic45c4,526$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.451,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed G2 Esports61c4,002$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.9147455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4873…15babacked G2 Esports58c2,781$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60017852.8%94 W · 84 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked G2 Esports59c2,712$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60024554.3%133 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Fnatic45c2,348$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.6523948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37a4…8260backed G2 Esports57c2,193$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2502050%10 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1047…9036backed G2 Esports59c2,080$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.193348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Fnatic39c2,009$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.4143839.7%174 W · 264 L-24.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Fnatic42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16031953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G2 Esports60c1,917$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.512,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Fnatic37c1,854$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.2935443.2%153 W · 201 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10cf…60cfbacked G2 Esports50c1,728$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.98943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed G2 Esports62c1,704$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.126943.5%30 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x532b…30c1backed G2 Esports47c1,695$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.179339.8%37 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe410…d4d1backed G2 Esports59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0515352.9%81 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed G2 Esports59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016946.7%79 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa08f…745bbacked G2 Esports61c1,638$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2963…adc1backed G2 Esports57c1,589$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.011216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Fnatic41c1,499$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.363764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+34.3%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Fnatic37c1,413$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.0663944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked G2 Esports54c1,375$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.559248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df9…0965backed G2 Esports60c1,366$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed G2 Esports63c1,126$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.8862451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Fnatic39c1,100$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67135346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…f245backed G2 Esports59c1,008$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.721258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed G2 Esports65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Fnatic40c999.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed G2 Esports63c999.99$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9917241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Fnatic50c902.76$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.3829738.7%115 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa90…6b3abacked G2 Esports61c899.99$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5491457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed G2 Esports53c858$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.0212128.9%35 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63ef…7d38backed G2 Esports54c833$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.821442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fnatic46c749.99$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.42,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Fnatic33c746.27$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked G2 Esports67c746.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010834.3%37 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Fnatic41c720.01$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.0542143.9%185 W · 236 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked G2 Esports59c672.7$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019244.3%85 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Fnatic42c649.46$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.692055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd8…e787backed Fnatic41c555$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd1…afdbbacked Fnatic56c539.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.047258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked G2 Esports57c528.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007163.4%45 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb1…e05ebacked Fnatic39c523.08$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked G2 Esports58c516.05$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012246.7%57 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d40…5739backed Fnatic39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.829848%47 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Fnatic71c509.49$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3597854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd799…326cbacked Fnatic40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005131.4%16 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b34…a646backed G2 Esports45c493.04$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.872951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed G2 Esports60c470$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2821,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed G2 Esports58c450.14$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.0889943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6dd…238bbacked G2 Esports59c437.29$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25822741%93 W · 134 L+1.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked G2 Esports59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509459.6%56 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Fnatic42c420.62$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.9632555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Fnatic36c416.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6765063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd1…cd25backed Fnatic39c410.25$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.254557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked G2 Esports57c399.99$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9918520.5%38 W · 147 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked G2 Esports44c398.11$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1724554.7%134 W · 111 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d5…d7a3backed G2 Esports61c397.73$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.493551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked Fnatic42c359.05$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2556744.8%254 W · 313 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed Fnatic41c355.49$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4917658%102 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed G2 Esports61c341.14$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.641,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ae…b263backed G2 Esports56c338.47$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa1c…e369backed G2 Esports59c330.59$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0521546%99 W · 116 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked G2 Esports61c330$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.317339.3%68 W · 105 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed G2 Esports59c328$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5246050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Fnatic46c325$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.520036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Fnatic42c309.06$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9550845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked G2 Esports50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed G2 Esports42c290$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.41,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Fnatic55c274.59$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.265858.6%34 W · 24 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c17…e1b1backed G2 Esports57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c8…2313backed Fnatic40c248$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1483461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Fnatic35c226.97$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5752750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Fnatic48c223.93$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.591,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed G2 Esports58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11662649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdfb…9680backed Fnatic44c197.45$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.453764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Fnatic43c197.43$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5435442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed G2 Esports46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.82,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked G2 Esports57c175.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x891f…f851backed G2 Esports58c175$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.56434.4%22 W · 42 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked G2 Esports50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked Fnatic42c168$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.442650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdeea…a22bbacked G2 Esports43c162.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked G2 Esports63c154.48$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9825640.6%104 W · 152 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Fnatic42c144.6$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8768253.5%365 W · 317 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f7…e591backed Fnatic40c130$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.320748.3%100 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Fnatic43c129.31$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7418051.1%92 W · 88 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked G2 Esports55c112.75$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0136460.2%219 W · 145 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…fd05backed G2 Esports59c108.47$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643250%16 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed G2 Esports58c104.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8926048.8%127 W · 133 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed G2 Esports62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.331,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fnatic44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5677741.7%324 W · 453 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d45…1c86backed Fnatic44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5612251.6%63 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b5…a423backed Fnatic51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493560%21 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+94.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked G2 Esports56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5629443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43c6…6dc9backed Fnatic37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638148.1%39 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe1f…c18fbacked Fnatic37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635429.6%16 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.