Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc07f75bb7e0071dfbde283588603108abafcf8db008b4ef7383ef5977da8538

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $14,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,886 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x532b…30c1backed Under	33c	3,054$996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,058.46	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over	67c	1,937$1,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,297.78	379	48.3%183 W · 196 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Under	67c	1,601$1,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.34	624	51.4%321 W · 303 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb39b…9826backed Over	35c	1,009$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01b6…7d7cbacked Over	68c	999.99$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.99	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-4.9wins	-0.20per pick	62cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Over	32c	958.48$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.71	1,501	54.5%818 W · 683 L	+34.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Over	33c	753.04$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.5	960	48.8%468 W · 492 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd8…e787backed Over	34c	606$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.04	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+61%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under	52c	579$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.92	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Under	65c	484.32$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.51	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7c8…2313backed Over	35c	289.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Under	64c	233.89$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.08	106	34.9%37 W · 69 L	-14.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed Over	36c	228.01$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.08	121	28.9%35 W · 86 L	-8.6wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	54c	228$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.21	2,311	39.4%910 W · 1,401 L	-83.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under	64c	224.93$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.85	453	38%172 W · 281 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under	68c	222.35$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.15	1,385	45.1%625 W · 760 L	-12.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over	70c	200$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	626	49.8%312 W · 314 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdeea…a22bbacked Under	30c	167$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	66c	164.26$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.14	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	48c	152$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.96	1,389	37.7%524 W · 865 L	-45.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Under	64c	149.13$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.69	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under	66c	132.96$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.83	192	59.9%115 W · 77 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Under	65c	102.22$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.43	222	65.3%145 W · 77 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under	68c	94.52$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.64	1,170	66.2%774 W · 396 L	+69.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	45c	94.09$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.11	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over	34c	80$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	45c	79.45$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.91	1,971	30.5%601 W · 1,370 L	-170.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under	59c	76.63$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.48	158	23.4%37 W · 121 L	-21.3wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbeca…a1b7backed Under	29c	75$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.95	108	51.9%56 W · 52 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under	65c	70.02$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.34	637	42.7%272 W · 365 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under	68c	66.59$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.23	447	45.2%202 W · 245 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e5…6576backed Under	62c	64.52$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.52	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	51c	64.39$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.81	2,679	35.7%957 W · 1,722 L	-153.5wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6eb0…16e6backed Over	36c	56.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over	31c	51.97$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.11	527	50.5%266 W · 261 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under	62c	51.57$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.43	238	42.9%102 W · 136 L	-21.1wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xffcb…d630backed Under	67c	50.04$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.51	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	69cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	36c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1,239	37.3%462 W · 777 L	-39.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	64c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	1,310	49.2%644 W · 666 L	-23.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Under	67c	40.55$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.38	53	66%35 W · 18 L	+6.3wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over	34c	39.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	302	46%139 W · 163 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	36c	34.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.56	549	34.8%191 W · 358 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under	69c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	343	57.1%196 W · 147 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under	62c	28.18$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.61	239	48.1%115 W · 124 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under	66c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.45	58	60.3%35 W · 23 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Under	44c	22.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	140	42.1%59 W · 81 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over	59c	19.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.59	385	55.1%212 W · 173 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
First Blood in Game 2?Fnatic won
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)Fnatic won
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonFnatic won
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 WinnerFnatic won
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 WinnerFnatic won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event