Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10ac1f285c167bb145f1868f9479b54da45a52965925dccdc117537ca8d9f6f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Fnatic, Shifters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5286…0d47backed Fnatic | 52c | 37,271$19,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,979.27 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Shifters | 48c | 37,019$17,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,954.08 | 224 | 51.8%116 W · 108 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked Shifters | 48c | 20,000$9,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,649.99 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Fnatic | 51c | 18,306$9,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,032.58 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Fnatic | 51c | 16,000$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,840 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shifters | 47c | 9,963$4,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,661.01 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Shifters | 49c | 9,833$4,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,784.84 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Fnatic | 53c | 9,528$5,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.17 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Shifters | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…1d07backed Fnatic | 56c | 8,700$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.89 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Shifters | 49c | 8,084$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.07 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…a875backed Fnatic | 51c | 8,047$4,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,943.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Shifters | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +7.1wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Shifters | 48c | 5,087$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Fnatic | 51c | 4,980$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.54 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fnatic | 51c | 4,469$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.69 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fnatic | 51c | 4,115$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.67 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Shifters | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.01 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed Shifters | 50c | 3,874$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.15 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Fnatic | 52c | 3,627$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.08 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed Shifters | 48c | 2,500$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Shifters | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.35 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…21acbacked Shifters | 48c | 2,028$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.62 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shifters | 49c | 1,652$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.25 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Fnatic | 55c | 1,554$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.95 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Fnatic | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Fnatic | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Shifters | 49c | 1,490$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.9 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Shifters | 50c | 1,489$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.59 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Fnatic | 52c | 1,366$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.06 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Fnatic | 51c | 1,319$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Shifters | 38c | 1,260$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.7 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Fnatic | 50c | 1,195$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.37 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Fnatic | 50c | 1,032$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.16 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…af03backed Shifters | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Fnatic | 52c | 714.31$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.87 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Shifters | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 156 | 45.5%71 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Fnatic | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 345 | 68.7%237 W · 108 L | +24.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Shifters | 28c | 693.21$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked Fnatic | 49c | 589.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.29 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Shifters | 39c | 553.7$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.77 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…6b3abacked Shifters | 49c | 536.19$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…db30backed Fnatic | 50c | 501.98$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Shifters | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Shifters | 48c | 486.06$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.17 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Shifters | 47c | 404.81$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.34 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed Shifters | 49c | 400$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…26ddbacked Fnatic | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Shifters | 54c | 371.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…6193backed Fnatic | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed Fnatic | 54c | 369.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Fnatic | 50c | 364.82$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.41 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfabe…f1c9backed Fnatic | 51c | 340$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Fnatic | 51c | 324.5$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.01 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Fnatic | 51c | 317.84$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.74 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Shifters | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 644 | 53.9%347 W · 297 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Fnatic | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7636…2acbbacked Shifters | 55c | 274.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Fnatic | 54c | 253.96$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Fnatic | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Shifters | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Fnatic | 54c | 201$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Fnatic | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Fnatic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Shifters | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 257 | 40.1%103 W · 154 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eba…c7d7backed Shifters | 50c | 191.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Shifters | 49c | 149.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Shifters | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fnatic | 54c | 143.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Shifters | 49c | 139.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Fnatic | 69c | 137.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…87e4backed Shifters | 25c | 137.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Fnatic | 52c | 109$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Shifters | 51c | 108$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Shifters | 47c | 106.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Shifters | 46c | 105.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Fnatic | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 682 | 53.5%365 W · 317 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Fnatic | 56c | 88.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…a5f9backed Shifters | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Shifters | 23c | 80.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Shifters | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Shifters | 42c | 76.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Shifters | 53c | 75.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…eebbbacked Shifters | 31c | 75.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Fnatic | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…f2e5backed Shifters | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Fnatic | 49c | 68.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Shifters | 50c | 67.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…d257backed Fnatic | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…9a9bbacked Shifters | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Shifters | 49c | 59.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…aab1backed Shifters | 47c | 57.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 190 | 45.3%86 W · 104 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Fnatic | 47c | 57.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…9647backed Fnatic | 53c | 55.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…c2d7backed Shifters | 47c | 55.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Shifters | 50c | 53.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Fnatic | 51c | 53.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Fnatic | 54c | 52.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shifters | 31c | 51.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Fnatic | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonFnatic won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 WinnerFnatic won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerFnatic won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.