Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1bb33bab65d1305a3c424fb8908c8e8af36c2b5fec0359e79e4e87663b4ebcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim Red Forceof Nongshim Red Force, Kiwoom DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Nongshim Red Force | 31c | 1,517$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.99 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Kiwoom DRX | 68c | 1,314$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.52 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Kiwoom DRX | 69c | 1,048$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.85 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 31c | 943.94$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.32 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Nongshim Red Force | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Kiwoom DRX | 70c | 563.8$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.84 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Nongshim Red Force | 32c | 444.44$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.22 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom DRX | 69c | 373.95$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.03 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…21acbacked Kiwoom DRX | 68c | 318.5$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Kiwoom DRX | 69c | 286.22$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.49 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Nongshim Red Force | 31c | 245.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.17 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Nongshim Red Force | 32c | 200.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.87 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Kiwoom DRX | 67c | 182.66$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.38 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Kiwoom DRX | 24c | 172.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kiwoom DRX | 73c | 128.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nongshim Red Force | 68c | 120.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Kiwoom DRX | 26c | 107.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Nongshim Red Force | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Nongshim Red Force | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Kiwoom DRX | 56c | 81.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…bf4dbacked Kiwoom DRX | 59c | 62.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Kiwoom DRX | 34c | 62.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Kiwoom DRX | 69c | 58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…be17backed Kiwoom DRX | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Kiwoom DRX | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Nongshim Red Force | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Nongshim Red Force | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nongshim Red Force | 59c | 26.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked Kiwoom DRX | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.