TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

La Velada del Año 6: Viruzz vs Gero Arias

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gero Ariasof Viruzz, Gero Arias
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,512 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x664a…fc5fbacked Gero Arias58c4,578$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.791435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Viruzz42c1,983$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.23650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3861…b1babacked Viruzz40c1,976$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d7…4952backed Viruzz26c1,670$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed Gero Arias76c1,406$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.62540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Viruzz35c1,332$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.811118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-64.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55b9…3f67backed Viruzz35c1,291$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Viruzz42c863.71$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Gero Arias60c861.77$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.38742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Viruzz39c831.63$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Viruzz37c803.97$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.022552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…5045backed Gero Arias65c706$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Gero Arias59c604.56$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.58616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-71.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca6…8ac4backed Gero Arias76c600$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a22…e365backed Gero Arias61c576.93$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8224…7384backed Viruzz45c524.24$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Viruzz44c506.12$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Viruzz42c501.51$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.361435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x786f…034abacked Viruzz44c491.33$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7201…86f4backed Gero Arias62c480.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Gero Arias59c477.96$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.021942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Viruzz43c466.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…652abacked Gero Arias64c436.33$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…60bfbacked Gero Arias56c435.21$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…fac2backed Viruzz47c424.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb078…289ebacked Viruzz43c404.42$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Viruzz45c374.57$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e2a…25cebacked Viruzz56c359.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x016b…01e2backed Gero Arias60c359.66$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Gero Arias57c348.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.89922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Gero Arias60c345.07$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…a065backed Gero Arias59c337.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f73…5b47backed Viruzz48c331.92$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e14…c804backed Gero Arias62c322.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7af3…dad9backed Viruzz50c297.64$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-54.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b3…9aeabacked Gero Arias56c297.54$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b1…6b97backed Gero Arias74c276.35$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…c8dcbacked Viruzz42c265.13$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.07650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc790…93a7backed Gero Arias63c260.33$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.47650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9be1…6087backed Viruzz5c260$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Gero Arias67c249.26$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Viruzz22c242.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.29911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-77.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x027a…ea13backed Gero Arias60c242.6$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.671457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa68d…095dbacked Viruzz33c239.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19a…2e85backed Gero Arias62c238.09$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fbf…254bbacked Viruzz43c233.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-53.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Viruzz45c233.14$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-60.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2141…13b6backed Gero Arias63c230$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda31…f8acbacked Viruzz44c229.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x729d…248ebacked Gero Arias55c229.27$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e7…d9bdbacked Viruzz6c224.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb491…4400backed Viruzz7c224.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc345…8e8cbacked Viruzz45c220.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.59862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…d552backed Viruzz46c218.43$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e1…85fbbacked Viruzz46c218.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Gero Arias53c217.84$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.39540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09da…c64abacked Viruzz43c213.3$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Viruzz10c206.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.760%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Viruzz40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d0f…68e1backed Viruzz8c199.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…7be3backed Gero Arias67c194.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0bd…ddf8backed Gero Arias56c191.16$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.114100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Gero Arias56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa381…2961backed Gero Arias57c172.53$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed Gero Arias59c168.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.784100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c14…bb47backed Gero Arias60c166.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef1d…095dbacked Gero Arias61c164.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.85580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c02…eb94backed Viruzz39c164.85$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76d…3e8ebacked Gero Arias59c158.72$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.68977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Viruzz36c156$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.162339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x738a…5996backed Gero Arias73c154.06$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.46475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed Viruzz30c153.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba4…26b5backed Viruzz46c150.74$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-71%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0806…4adabacked Viruzz43c149.53$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4199…b1c3backed Gero Arias58c147.32$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30de…1f9dbacked Gero Arias58c147.02$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd7e4…c5a0backed Viruzz38c131.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f53…5e9fbacked Gero Arias74c131.22$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4445…1156backed Gero Arias57c121.11$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.08875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec2f…deecbacked Viruzz41c121.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Viruzz37c120.54$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1940%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Viruzz44c120.12$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50fd…14e5backed Gero Arias63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f9c…78debacked Viruzz45c119.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f6…663fbacked Gero Arias59c117.41$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x565c…585abacked Viruzz42c115.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb35c…33c8backed Viruzz43c115.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbb…3ec7backed Viruzz45c115.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4565…6549backed Viruzz44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Viruzz37c112.57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.314839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Gero Arias61c110.91$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.252352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…5ab8backed Viruzz46c109.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78fd…42e1backed Viruzz42c106.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Viruzz17c103.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.650%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6725…1bf9backed Viruzz44c101.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddbc…6965backed Viruzz37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3740%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c4f…ca52backed Gero Arias51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x575f…9287backed Gero Arias54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb37a…f1b1backed Gero Arias56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e3a…24dbbacked Gero Arias58c99.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.