TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x061e…5ab8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-39.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeff Bezos attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$29.3
Will David Beckham attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,347
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,520.52
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$660.8
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+225.4%+$969.1
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$428.48
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.82
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$4,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$4,847.72
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+55.9%+$388.79
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+150.2%+$1,622.76
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+131.4%+$656.8
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$166.67
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,150
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$98.56
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.2
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$5,336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,335.52
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-80.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10,900
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15,200
Will XRP reach $2.60 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10,475
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Will XRP reach $2.80 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11,787Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+71.7%+$8,455.87
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-77.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+158.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+192.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+192.9%+$798.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$603.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35%+$17.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Drill" or "Drilling" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.