TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Over54c63,212$33,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,259.222365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under48c23,545$11,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,418.2653040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c16,436$7,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,563.673,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under39c13,218$5,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,116.0799340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under46c9,348$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.875743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Under37c5,437$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0103836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over51c4,303$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.663658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over53c4,142$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.5133346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x625a…f957backed Under14c4,063$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9604656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under51c3,836$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.7698945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7be…4b60backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under56c2,760$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.684148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa937…a334backed Under15c2,679$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over54c2,560$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.59825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c2,500$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.9372850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over42c2,366$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.7727058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over36c2,130$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.518760.9%53 W · 34 L+13.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0081154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Over46c1,880$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c1,783$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.5670249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over77c1,305$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.782556%14 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under49c1,299$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.499854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4605437%20 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf45…401fbacked Under14c887.37$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over62c779.71$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.341241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Over70c718.87$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.895440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3363735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under26c679.59$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5912839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under46c616.61$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.647757.1%44 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under46c594$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2418456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over77c568.14$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.172360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under46c543.5$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0110338.8%40 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under45c534.87$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.698845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under45c527.74$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4813347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24526450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Under46c471.74$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2172133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Under46c453.85$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.771136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over65c440.09$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.281,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Under46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…5ab8backed Under47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under46c378.45$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1510042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over44c375.22$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.113650%18 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over52c375$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under46c302.48$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.143953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.469940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under47c287.32$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3527047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x693a…1417backed Under12c286.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under46c283.43$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4411848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Under46c280$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.83043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under46c275.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5852923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under47c272$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3310628.3%30 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under46c261.83$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.448454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under48c240$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11414349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over57c236.14$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8336247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over59c212.75$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.182669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under46c212.04$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5412650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over58c210$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.493759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+106.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Under25c196.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.57038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over58c192.4$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2731158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over42c179.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.074344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over55c152.73$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.736250%31 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb3…5fe5backed Under34c149.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under46c147.71$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.958129.6%24 W · 57 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over63c137.62$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2820554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over65c131.03$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2631446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under41c129.27$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed Under15c129.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+288.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under35c127$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2980249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under46c119.61$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0223350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c117.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3982044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.384323.3%10 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under41c109.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20e0…3a5fbacked Under37c109.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c27…54f2backed Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under46c105.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4312356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over52c99.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.675050%25 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under46c96.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.525954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under48c96.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.411428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under49c94.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5512551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Under46c93.11$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.831442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under47c92.59$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.431,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over62c91.83$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.636944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under16c90.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5468150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under46c90.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4714957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81c…d3fabacked Over52c89.29$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+41.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Over57c87.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.792254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9955…e803backed Over43c87.72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under54c81.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.127367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under30c66.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.213464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over48c65.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3411633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Under46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under46c59.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.344755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over69c58.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1729460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6910950.5%55 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0737…4d0abacked Under52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under46c56.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.079654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.