Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7e5775d5c9e16ec0ab4d41d3072859502762a81f1532f836c426c705b560069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 34c | 26,569$8,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,961.44 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 11,675$7,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809.26 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 36c | 5,100$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.58 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 67c | 5,063$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 54c | 4,551$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.97 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 3,500$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 39c | 3,249$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Under | 48c | 3,124$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.98 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 65c | 2,959$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.49 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 66c | 2,938$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 69c | 2,555$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.35 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…ce84backed Under | 66c | 2,248$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Over | 39c | 2,142$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 2,049$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.39 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 35c | 1,907$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.87 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 30c | 1,541$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.84 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 69c | 1,425$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.26 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over | 22c | 1,250$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Under | 63c | 1,199$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 66c | 1,050$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 66c | 1,000$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 20c | 965.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 80c | 951.99$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 40c | 925.05$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.02 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Under | 66c | 896.83$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…1b9ebacked Over | 30c | 672$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.54 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…613fbacked Under | 72c | 571.5$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.02 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 48c | 534.38$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.68 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Over | 18c | 515.13$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 65c | 506.1$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 9c | 479.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 65c | 404$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 65c | 387.97$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.79 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 41c | 366.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 66c | 356.47$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 28c | 320.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 31c | 274.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 26c | 270.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 78c | 251.75$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 68c | 199.09$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Under | 74c | 197.08$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 19c | 193$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 77c | 178.01$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 171.24$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 19c | 163.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 68c | 156.26$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 94.7%18 W · 1 L | +5.8wins | +0.31per pick | 64cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 66c | 144$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 67c | 138$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 67c | 134.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 27c | 132.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…ed4ebacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked Under | 61c | 114.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 71c | 109.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 79c | 103.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 17c | 99.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 19c | 95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 32c | 89.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 29c | 80.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 33c | 75.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 69c | 71.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 77c | 64.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 67c | 62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Under | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 54.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…1ff8backed Over | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 46c | 54.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 66c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 65c | 41.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 67c | 32.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 39c | 32.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 39c | 30.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Under | 68c | 30.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 68c | 28.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 25.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Under | 48c | 25.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 72c | 20.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b11dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 68c | 18.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5this page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Los Angeles FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.