Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfbd7aa3262b0c13187e87256b29b553898c949481f024c416725ba646ccc245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 45c | 6,920$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,836.17 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 5,598$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.93 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 45c | 5,468$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.89 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed No | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 53c | 2,133$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.62 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 1,053$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.53 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Yes | 55c | 955$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.7 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 45c | 807.2$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.35 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 55c | 789.88$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.36 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 55c | 628.33$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.92 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 44c | 556.47$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.56 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 56c | 512$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.16 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 53c | 497.49$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.24 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 55c | 496.7$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.85 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 64c | 462.48$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 55c | 432$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.44 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 47c | 417.7$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.88 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 56c | 405.01$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.46 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 54c | 381.58$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.58 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 52c | 341.9$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.65 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 51c | 305.64$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 55c | 300$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Yes | 30c | 299.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 52c | 239$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 55c | 219.28$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 45c | 189.11$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 19 | 94.7%18 W · 1 L | +5.8wins | +0.31per pick | 64cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 27c | 189$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 27c | 172$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 53c | 165.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 42c | 155$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 51c | 142.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 24c | 130.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 42c | 126.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 49c | 123.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 51c | 122.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 30c | 113.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 56c | 112.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 53c | 105.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 55c | 99.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 55c | 94.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…c0afbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 56c | 77.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 47c | 74.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 29c | 71.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 53c | 50.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729b…febbbacked No | 59c | 49.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 41c | 47.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 44c | 42.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 50c | 40.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 51c | 39.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 44c | 33.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 54c | 30.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ed1backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 52c | 29.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 52c | 29.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…0e83backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 41c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 53c | 26.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 55c | 25.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 41c | 25.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 72c | 20.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Los Angeles FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.