Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9de6dc4b06f2bbc0731a70556d19e6588358a4c8d2b304405666182d401df19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 18c | 2,483$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 26c | 1,587$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.17 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 26c | 1,360$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.12 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 28c | 1,205$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…38d0backed Over | 75c | 813.13$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 73c | 782$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.14 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 77c | 675.09$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 73c | 645.03$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.16 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 72c | 533.6$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.41 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 73c | 519.06$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 28c | 388.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 72c | 233.29$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 215.38$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005b…3c81backed Over | 72c | 149.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Under | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 72c | 72.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Over | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked Under | 25c | 68.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…9faebacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 26c | 59.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 24c | 59.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Over | 76c | 50.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 76c | 42.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 75c | 37.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 75c | 17.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 74c | 16.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…6e45backed Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 74c | 14.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5this page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Los Angeles FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.