MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85cdc38e839fe19a30cca97e05c668ab6028e8db377de739e82169f5f26ffa60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Kansas City Royals, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $490,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Kansas City Royals | 68c | 71,000$48,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,160 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 41,813$19,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,664.02 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 29,461$13,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,413.23 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 27,983$11,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,287.36 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 16,463$9,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,638.99 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 11,589$4,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 11,443$7,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,693.51 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…0061backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 10,200$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 9,211$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.18 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 9,090$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,332.8 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 8,483$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.31 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 6,666$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.14 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 6,550$4,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,058.84 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 5,631$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.1 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 5,571$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.49 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 5,112$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.19 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 4,403$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.14 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 3,750$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 3,128$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.09 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.97 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Minnesota Twins | 29c | 2,968$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.95 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 2,836$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 2,664$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.72 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 2,575$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.84 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 2,430$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.79 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 2,281$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.97 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 2,157$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.46 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 1,882$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,650$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.79 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 1,595$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.23 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 1,566$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.62 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Kansas City Royals | 77c | 1,532$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 1,483$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 1,340$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.8 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 1,279$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.39 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 1,261$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.74 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 1,199$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.16 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 1,099$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 1,095$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…d371backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 800$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Kansas City Royals | 72c | 794.88$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.52 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 793$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.41 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 774$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.12 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 733.52$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 699.99$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…f002backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 692.49$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 667.65$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.03 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Kansas City Royals | 2c | 654.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 653.67$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.74 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 604$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.52 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…b070backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 593.8$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.07 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 588.89$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.93 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Minnesota Twins | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 557.07$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.95 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Minnesota Twins | 25c | 528.52$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.39 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 525.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 520.51$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721e…3439backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 518.95$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 515$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Kansas City Royals | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Minnesota Twins | 16c | 499.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.96 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Minnesota Twins | 62c | 458.59$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.17 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…57b7backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 444.83$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.59 | 130 | 76.2%99 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 432.7$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.42 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5678…b665backed Minnesota Twins | 26c | 429.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 404.84$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.84 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…c49fbacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 347.45$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.42 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 328.26$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.14 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 320.97$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…f35fbacked Kansas City Royals | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 319.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 319.31$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.71 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 314.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 314.46$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.52 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 312$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 309$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.51 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 306.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…7cc7backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 300$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 286.13$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 279.34$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.15 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 276$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 271.43$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 263.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 262.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Minnesota Twins | 77c | 259$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 257.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 251.61$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.13 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 243.84$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.