MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb7380c859e4eb8025aa04d8988d7655cd95b4fe002c4fedbb2970334e6ab549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $459,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $470,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $459,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 111,356$34,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,884.89 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 109,913$70,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,020.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 63,962$25,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,432.46 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 25,000$15,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,750 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 22,523$10,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,387.53 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 21,972$13,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,849.05 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 14,195$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.51 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 11,795$6,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,487.06 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 10,633$6,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,318.55 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 10,291$3,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,483.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 8,288$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.41 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 8,150$4,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,506.58 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 6,774$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 6,182$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 5,965$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 5,718$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.72 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 5,396$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.55 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 5,351$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.56 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…6754backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 5,099$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.52 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 4,772$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.16 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 4,664$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.51 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 4,181$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 4,178$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.64 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 3,293$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.12 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 2,639$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.25 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.99 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 2,477$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.88 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 2,445$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.64 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 13c | 2,300$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 2,048$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 1,743$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.72 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 1,680$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.37 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,591$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.84 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 1,569$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.69 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 1,311$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.92 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 1,305$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,153$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.79 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 1,109$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.08 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,036$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.29 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 1,010$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…d612backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 944.4$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.52 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 838.92$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 795$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.19 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 780$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.8 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 754.9$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 751.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.77 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 700.22$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 699.99$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 670.81$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 668.6$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 599.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.98 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…a47dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 586.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 577.3$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.82 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 559.82$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.52 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 536.69$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.43 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 525.68$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.76 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 514.21$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.95 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 510$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.2 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 502.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.65 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 499.97$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 475.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 461.61$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.18 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 456.52$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.43 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…809cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 455.86$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 444$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.32 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22fc…2db9backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 440.86$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…0bf3backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 430.43$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.43 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 392$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.4 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 385.97$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.02 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 364.5$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.7 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a5…a53cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 363.63$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 354.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.14 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…e31cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 348.21$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 314.41$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 307.39$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.43 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 306.88$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.13 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 300$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 286.44$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 265.7$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 258$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 257.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 240.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.06 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 239.46$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 239.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…14c3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 220$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 217.31$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.