MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2f3fa0ded8fbc6e33765d37ceb6caccc7362dbfc1f36d2837397dce807b9755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $381,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $384,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 51c | 203,215$103,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,308.67 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 49c | 76,070$37,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,062.2 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,499.99 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 50c | 45,473$22,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,944.73 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 42,098$21,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,920.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 25,267$12,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,633.4 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 24,923$12,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,925.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 20,475$10,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,338.91 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 50c | 15,555$7,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777.5 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Under | 49c | 13,426$6,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,847.48 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 12,532$6,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,370.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 49c | 12,178$5,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,210.68 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Over | 50c | 10,075$5,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,044 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.97 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 4,206$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 4,096$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.48 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 51c | 3,920$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.2 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 3,264$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.44 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 3,052$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.05 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Under | 49c | 2,568$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.99 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 2,491$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.41 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 37c | 2,455$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.65 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,407$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.54 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 50c | 2,083$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.67 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 1,969$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 1,887$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.54 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 49c | 1,875$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.25 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 1,720$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 49c | 1,611$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.71 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 50c | 1,556$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 50c | 1,447$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.5 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 33c | 1,388$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.38 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,201$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.87 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 1,126$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.95 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 50c | 1,077$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.64 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 51c | 979.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Under | 49c | 908.16$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.16 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 38c | 850$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.7 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 824.26$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.65 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 51c | 784.3$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 52c | 743.29$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.19 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 51c | 585$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.91 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 50c | 492.81$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.47 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…bb4ebacked Under | 50c | 436.74$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.37 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 52c | 425.28$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.12 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 25c | 391$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 50c | 339.72$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.86 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Under | 60c | 305.9$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 50c | 288$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 49c | 281.47$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.45 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 254$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Under | 76c | 241.4$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 48c | 232.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 79c | 226.74$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 220.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 51c | 214.17$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 211.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 31c | 203.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 52c | 203.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34e…c973backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 55c | 194.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 50c | 190.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 55c | 185.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 37c | 176.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 51c | 145.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 51c | 143$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 51c | 134.26$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Under | 76c | 132.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 49c | 131.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 50c | 127.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 50c | 111.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Over | 25c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 21c | 108$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 52c | 106.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Under | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 49c | 101.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 49c | 97.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 18c | 93.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 27c | 90.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis CardinalsCincinnati Reds won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.