TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed No70c22,409$15,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,612.7228940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c13,535$3,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,559.068,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes30c10,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00031643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes32c8,170$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,595.4575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No77c4,093$3,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140.972,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No68c3,542$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.1710933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No71c2,410$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7221643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked No70c2,292$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.747925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c2,128$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.253,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c1,939$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.161,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes28c1,786$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.6929037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes18c1,668$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.141,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Yes32c1,500$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.723574.3%26 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No65c1,384$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.236339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c1,273$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.861,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes77c1,191$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0420036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c1,182$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.0199259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeeb9…f6b3backed Yes30c1,131$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.57560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+135.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes26c1,078$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.135,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No68c1,034$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.9316641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed No71c1,009$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.523046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes32c809.81$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.881,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No70c713.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.791,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.674337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes30c655.3$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.595155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c630.19$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.561,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No66c612.22$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.1737540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No70c600$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.846144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c599.13$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.381,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked No72c590.28$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4253850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35019447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked No72c464.43$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.392450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No78c430.49$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.6853836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x061e…5ab8backed Yes22c386.36$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+158.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes39c369.24$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5555250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No68c367$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.419437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes36c361.11$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.116555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No52c344.26$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.11,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No33c339$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8730847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes67c336$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3921765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf958…31b3backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.332152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes58c327.22$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.720665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Yes30c324.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.081838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Yes24c315.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.592157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes30c309.74$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1972058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes30c303.44$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6282434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yes32c301.26$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.176142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No66c268.68$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3319953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes32c255$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.423733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No55c251$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1815247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked No14c216$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.242254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No70c215.98$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.199551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes46c190$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4511350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed No68c179.05$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.754346.5%20 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes64c176$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.315768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Yes44c159.93$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+41.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No59c150$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.915143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…01e5backed Yes35c144.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.233438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No70c142.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9625955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bc…7714backed No53c138.68$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No16c132$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.123016.7%5 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No62c132$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5289645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No68c121.12$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3645746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes27c117.51$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.463061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28c3…0693backed No71c115.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a1…be97backed No77c108.7$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes26c107.56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2446449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No28c104$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0589846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No64c103.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5212740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Yes30c100.55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+142.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6612737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No71c98.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9816751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No48c86.73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5918446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x324f…15b1backed Yes22c86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.66633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No56c83.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.321,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Yes34c80$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.826744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5064633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No38c75.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.671,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes21c68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.726040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed No79c67.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5110766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed Yes20c67.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.111361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+52.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Yes30c64.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+143%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes33c62.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8635246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes30c61.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.179158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No70c60.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.461,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes20c53.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Yes28c52.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6611944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes47c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.561,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4207…fe8abacked Yes30c51.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+143.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes40c49.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed No71c49.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.013259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked No78c43.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8914753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes48c41.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.973441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No49c41.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1426835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes30c40.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2733365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2819543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b0…85f8backed Yes39c37.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No70c37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.982,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.