TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$418,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$419,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes43c64,094$27,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,419.341241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No57c31,579$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,578.953644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked No34c17,790$5,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,814.763545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c16,548$9,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,969.275,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes44c12,688$5,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,643.752,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes61c12,599$7,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,660.2931349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c11,392$5,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,639.598,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe13e…4ad1backed Yes42c11,200$4,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,703.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No57c10,483$5,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,507.274753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No58c10,399$6,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,375.181,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Yes39c10,270$3,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,981.713935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes52c7,525$3,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,925.1223733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No35c7,039$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,558.831,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes66c6,372$4,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,206.0928940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes66c6,137$4,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,060.229037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10034747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No59c3,761$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.91,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes42c3,692$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.6349136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No33c3,494$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.711,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes52c3,356$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.0930847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No61c2,675$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.6215768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No51c2,621$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.5626835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No35c2,556$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.7510933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No62c2,500$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95011855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Yes47c2,489$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.066735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes42c2,436$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.3838233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes38c2,397$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.54346.5%20 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No58c2,145$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.3575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No58c2,051$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.871,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No44c1,922$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.1182434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa20a…b7b3backed No32c1,890$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Yes66c1,776$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.362544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed No55c1,636$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.592142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No59c1,613$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.831,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes34c1,515$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.968139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No29c1,503$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.9912434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.9619447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No38c1,413$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.6212737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes61c1,404$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.553836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf97…2cb3backed Yes38c1,326$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.56742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No31c1,302$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.713748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No62c1,288$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.422171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes39c1,283$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No28c1,229$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.063842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No37c1,227$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.431,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes76c1,217$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.461154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes66c1,147$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.974852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Yes36c1,104$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.291435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes62c1,016$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.836339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes63c1,010$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed No60c1,008$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.153046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c1,000$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4251,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4306243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…5782backed Yes26c961.53$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes62c900$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55899259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes42c890$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.6810667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No59c864$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.569551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No58c862$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.042,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No27c851.85$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.856555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes28c847.46$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.577925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes41c827.1$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.51,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc359…e8d9backed Yes44c813.41$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No62c753.43$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.1723254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No57c723.94$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1246449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed No33c708.54$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.316142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No46c680.31$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.0889846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709d…f749backed Yes77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2968…1e6ebacked No31c645.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.833148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked No41c636.32$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.434680.4%37 W · 9 L+14.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+114.5%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes63c602.37$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.756251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3726144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes38c594.74$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2261931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No42c587.87$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.5818446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes57c581$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.4120055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked No31c575.2$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.969920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes48c564.31$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.7616864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No46c528.24$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.664633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes67c527.54$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.051118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-63.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No39c505.45$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4719437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No32c504.01$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.3519953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes34c493.71$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8445746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes35c492.62$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9255250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e92…5280backed Yes42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes69c429.78$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.558657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes64c424.93$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.244436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes35c406.58$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.318743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No45c394$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6818742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No26c385.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.1812738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Yes15c377.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.791353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No29c373.82$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.416412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No49c368$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.989645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No40c359.77$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.0511354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5d7…488cbacked Yes28c358.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed No34c349$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.466744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No56c348.43$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0695155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked No64c344.11$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes49c338.39$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.451,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked No60c331.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.147248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No35c328.17$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3316641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes43c324$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.321,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.