MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a787fb7957d31f0a4dea08961ac59b5e2e244b203bd42a07d069d4bdb79a048
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $822,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $823,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $822,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 241,784$123,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,758.51 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 30c | 157,830$47,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,165.51 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…d915backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 90,500$28,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,805 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 86,797$41,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,134.66 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 60,777$31,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,280.69 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 49,758$24,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,852.48 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 48,336$31,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,766.95 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 44,000$22,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,880 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 32,355$15,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,530.4 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 19,146$9,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,472.04 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 18,724$9,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,174.76 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 14,170$7,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,085 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 14,000$6,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,980 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…c058backed Boston Red Sox | 30c | 10,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 9,322$4,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,567.68 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf953…156cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 8,812$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,318.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 8,200$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,018 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 37c | 7,824$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.27 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 6,619$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.65 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 5,885$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.64 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 5,385$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.4 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 4,900$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 4,873$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.59 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc71…39dabacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 4,694$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 4,508$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.05 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 76c | 4,102$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.62 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 3,833$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.77 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…f6d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 3,663$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Boston Red Sox | 30c | 3,559$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.49 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…211bbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 3,353$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 3,339$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.44 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Boston Red Sox | 6c | 3,271$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 3,195$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.5 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 3,161$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.26 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 2,739$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,695$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.4 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…15d8backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 2,630$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…f07abacked Boston Red Sox | 4c | 2,577$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 2,483$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 2,262$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.22 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 2,048$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Boston Red Sox | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 1,766$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.64 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…795dbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,553$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…23c9backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 1,400$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 1,231$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.65 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,214$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.84 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,196$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.06 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 1,100$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.36 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Boston Red Sox | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 976.3$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.08 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 957.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 944$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.32 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 930.54$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.61 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Boston Red Sox | 4c | 858.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 779$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.71 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 725.1$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.3 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 640.76$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.07 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 633.62$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.47 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 624.83$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.32 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 620$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 599.83$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.92 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 551.49$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.87 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 545$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.05 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 540$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 529.41$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 528.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.8 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…4512backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 524.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 512.82$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 469.39$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-5.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.