MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5428aa81f6377d5fe8c8df2ef7b861c9f1ef67b23b77e725acf499b44217f3e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,012,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,080,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,012,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 526 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 523,649$274,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274,499.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 376,379$230,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,407.6 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 184,055$75,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,037.41 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 131,584$54,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,007.02 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 89,037$52,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,433.06 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 77,573$46,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,059.78 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 67,414$38,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,232.45 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 59,995$5,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,726.79 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 51,624$20,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,102.07 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 41,532$31,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,464.25 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 35,543$17,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,476.08 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 34,594$20,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,119.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 30,833$16,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,842.99 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 28,704$11,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,591.8 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 24,866$14,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,750 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 21,761$9,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,896.08 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 21,556$12,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,704.94 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 20,258$11,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,952 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,799.96 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 18,798$10,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,450 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 17,311$9,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,947.97 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 15,486$5,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,458 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 13,000$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,669.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 12,520$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,511.83 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 11,888$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,894.91 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a29…25a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 11,700$6,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,887.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 11,500$5,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,219 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 11,000$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,490 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 10,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 9,662$5,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700.86 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 8,916$3,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,092.55 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 8,473$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.12 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…df70backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 8,057$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,614.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 7,407$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,357.51 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…2cf8backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 7,103$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 6,823$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,884.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 6,696$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.33 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 6,437$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,203.49 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 5,395$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.66 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 5,260$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.72 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…9486backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 5,024$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 5,013$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.53 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.97 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 4,880$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 4,880$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.2 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabaf…8651backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 4,849$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.86 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 4,718$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 4,649$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.52 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 4,555$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.94 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 4,498$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.38 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 4,433$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.94 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 4,247$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 4,009$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.89 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 3,509$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 3,484$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.89 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 3,478$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.26 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 3,458$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.19 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 3,340$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 3,280$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.6 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…17c0backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 3,203$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 3,029$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.61 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 2,945$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.71 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…bb27backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 2,593$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 2,577$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.03 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 2,340$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.6 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 2,172$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.63 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 2,156$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.13 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 2,075$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.18 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 2,000$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.13 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,992$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.97 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,960$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.87 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,831$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.29 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…6754backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 1,705$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,698$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.11 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 1,635$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.95 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 1,585$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.34 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 1,514$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.45 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,505$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.09 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,501$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.5 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 1,457$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.37 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,340$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.52 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 1,271$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.42 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 1,224$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.25 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,223$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.96 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…32d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,130$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.69 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…6033backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 1,129$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.16 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,092$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.88 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 1,076$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.94 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,024$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.16 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…5bd3backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,006$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 14.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.