MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcb4afb2535f14a91ea3fdeaa430f30fa427d8884d2032d6cdd95ef3f561431d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 53c | 214,369$114,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,958.85 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 54c | 53,108$28,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,429.73 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 34,168$16,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,007.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 26,171$12,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,062.61 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 46c | 26,106$12,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,008.53 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 24,654$11,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,560.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 45c | 19,512$8,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,780.22 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 46c | 16,030$7,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,373.8 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 46c | 12,970$5,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,966.29 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 11,603$5,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,513.99 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 9,268$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264.1 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 46c | 9,200$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Under | 44c | 8,012$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.39 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 39c | 5,390$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.82 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 5,297$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.96 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 4,385$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 48c | 4,122$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.62 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 48c | 4,122$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.62 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 4,095$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.33 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 47c | 4,095$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.56 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 47c | 2,512$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.37 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 47c | 2,297$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.64 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 47c | 2,270$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.3 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 56c | 2,267$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.39 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 48c | 2,250$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.28 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Over | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.86 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 48c | 2,139$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.78 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 47c | 2,046$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.8 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed Under | 46c | 1,913$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 47c | 1,867$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.21 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 1,703$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 71c | 1,621$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.22 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Under | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 47c | 1,053$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.55 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 45c | 999.99$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 53c | 999.98$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.99 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 47c | 799$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.74 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 55c | 798.24$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.21 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 781.91$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 55c | 740.74$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 46c | 732.18$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.48 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 699.84$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.93 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Under | 43c | 682.44$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.45 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 46c | 652.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 46c | 631.7$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.58 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…6831backed Under | 45c | 609.37$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 48c | 580.17$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.7 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over | 56c | 548.51$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.34 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 60c | 525$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 47c | 504$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 42c | 488.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.37 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 487.93$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.76 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 66c | 445.61$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…b64dbacked Under | 46c | 444.65$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 46c | 420.73$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.81 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 46c | 419.26$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 46c | 397$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.62 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 380$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 40c | 373.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.09 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 46c | 363.48$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 60c | 353$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 46c | 348.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.35 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 49c | 333.28$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.97 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 55c | 331.15$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.02 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 47c | 319.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…935fbacked Under | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 301$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.34 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 48c | 293.04$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Under | 42c | 261.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 250.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 46c | 225$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 215.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 54c | 214.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 49c | 204.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…a7f6backed Under | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 160.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 47c | 148.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 48c | 145.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 47c | 138$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsCleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 14.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.