MLB · resolved market
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x586cff253c4110b3c2b87a65847a26b2b6b3833059beaec109bc5aa23cb8ecb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cincinnati Reds, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 9,322$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,771.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 8,761$5,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,616.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 6,020$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 5,693$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 5,218$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.7 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 4,650$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.5 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 3,342$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.9 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 3,339$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.81 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 3,293$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,633$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.62 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 2,563$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.96 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 2,314$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.04 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,048$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.03 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,959$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.09 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,365$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.95 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Cincinnati Reds | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,110$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.25 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,027$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.77 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 972.06$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.17 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 794.79$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.94 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.09 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 640.02$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.7 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 612.21$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.52 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 586.95$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.52 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 551.83$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.41 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 517.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.16 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 482.78$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.59 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 444.22$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.58 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 421.78$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 416.12$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.93 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…5323backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 412.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 357.7$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 342.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 271.86$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 265.85$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 238.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…977bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 223.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 210.48$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 209.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 193$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 191$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 186.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 173.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 156.93$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 151.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…bb0fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 114.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 112.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 110.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 109.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 104.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 103.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 92.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 69.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 65.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 64.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 59.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 40.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…d1ddbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 32.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 30.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 29.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 29.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 26.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 24.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsCleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 14.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.