Mls · resolved market
Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8308abb8dc1fc30271cd17b574ecb8028c9ca18301dfa38cd851038ad1fb8922
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 5,410$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.51 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 4,983$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.26 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 4,901$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.45 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 41c | 4,608$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.46 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 3,620$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.26 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 47c | 3,475$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.41 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 49c | 3,449$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.65 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 48c | 3,332$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.49 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 49c | 3,157$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 38c | 3,060$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.97 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 73c | 2,671$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 51c | 2,622$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.46 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 2,500$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.05 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 63c | 2,400$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.1 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 29c | 2,254$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 32c | 1,990$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.02 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Under | 50c | 1,866$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.62 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…ce84backed Under | 48c | 1,751$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 49c | 1,735$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 34c | 1,661$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.11 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Over | 48c | 1,578$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 1,413$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.55 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 1,077$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.54 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 36c | 1,052$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.5 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 949.25$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.24 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Over | 50c | 929.3$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.65 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 58c | 895.9$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.06 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 53c | 858.07$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.82 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 850$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 837.71$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.1 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 48c | 655.16$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.57 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 51c | 646.86$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.9 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 56c | 640$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 585.66$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.65 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over | 33c | 538.91$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.32 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 53c | 512$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.64 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 38c | 500.31$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.17 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 50c | 485.9$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 21c | 467.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Over | 62c | 440$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Under | 50c | 430.18$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Under | 62c | 419.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…5ac0backed Under | 49c | 416.08$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Under | 79c | 381.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.30per pick | 69cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 28c | 333.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 58c | 300.68$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.15 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…84e1backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 61c | 296.4$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 66c | 274.66$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 38c | 272.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 22c | 253.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 234.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 49c | 219.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 39c | 218$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.49 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 48c | 216$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 38c | 198.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Under | 49c | 191.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 166.57$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 27c | 147.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 40c | 142.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed Under | 71c | 141.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…8c73backed Under | 56c | 134.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 68c | 132$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 37c | 130.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 68c | 120.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 53c | 119.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 64c | 118.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 66c | 109.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 105.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 71c | 104.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 61c | 103.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 101$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 49c | 99.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 57c | 86.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 49c | 84.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 81.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 64c | 80.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 47c | 76.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 68c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 69c | 72.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 42c | 72.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 52c | 71.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c0…ca02backed Under | 69c | 71.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 52c | 68.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d45…b9b3backed Under | 80c | 62.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 55c | 62.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5this page
- Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: Portland Timbers O/U 0.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: Real Salt Lake O/U 1.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: Real Salt Lake O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.