TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Black Phoenixof Black Phoenix, Bebop
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Black Phoenix66c67,320$44,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,973.6620745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bebop35c5,709$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.255,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop48c5,252$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,511.847,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Bebop36c4,504$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.242,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Bebop37c4,279$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.665,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Bebop36c4,199$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.232,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Bebop24c3,528$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.5241050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Bebop30c3,033$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.4422241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Black Phoenix50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50043951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Bebop49c2,483$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.741,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3783…0038backed Bebop21c2,402$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007638.2%29 W · 47 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed Black Phoenix52c1,928$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.5723356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Bebop30c1,714$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51035847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Bebop38c1,665$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.253,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Bebop41c1,593$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65335745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7437…142dbacked Bebop38c1,305$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.091735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Bebop39c1,275$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.191743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf98c…bf06backed Bebop12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Bebop37c1,249$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.111,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Bebop44c1,232$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.1458745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Bebop36c1,178$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.11,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2690…4089backed Bebop22c1,080$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.22352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Bebop47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9389046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed Bebop29c1,059$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3119023.3%21 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a3d…9488backed Bebop41c1,035$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.544233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Bebop23c1,015$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0783543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Black Phoenix53c999.98$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9951252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Bebop35c913$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.352,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Bebop16c899.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459540%38 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1032…4243backed Bebop41c887$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.672231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed Black Phoenix49c877.96$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.3635153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked Bebop41c870.37$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.8512846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed Black Phoenix45c809.99$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.3929543.1%127 W · 168 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bebop29c770.65$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.952,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Black Phoenix62c734.74$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.4817759.9%106 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Bebop39c663.86$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25719840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Bebop39c661.58$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.1331241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Bebop41c650$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.566436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed Bebop41c642.83$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.5611745.3%53 W · 64 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc4b…ecc5backed Bebop41c614.15$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.86942%29 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Bebop41c610$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.126554.3%144 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Bebop40c599.6$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6755738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Bebop41c568.9$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2521146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc2b…cec3backed Bebop35c553.44$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.78045%36 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Bebop25c528.49$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.689352.7%49 W · 44 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb7e…9546backed Bebop41c522.62$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.274146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92fe…e095backed Bebop41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd544…4994backed Bebop12c460.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.052450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f50…e12bbacked Bebop41c453.37$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.884942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Bebop41c437.94$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5626653.4%142 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Bebop35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac33…fda0backed Bebop31c386.76$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…a142backed Bebop41c380$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.85244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Bebop48c374.48$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7521354.5%116 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Bebop30c340.93$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7517055.3%94 W · 76 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Bebop28c329.28$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.612,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Bebop32c320.8$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.753,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bebop38c314.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.033,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed Bebop50c298$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14916550.3%83 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Bebop12c288$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5633146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Bebop44c282.17$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.944,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Bebop12c280.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3532443.5%141 W · 183 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bebop44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11061948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked Bebop41c247.49$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.477850%39 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Bebop43c231$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3349143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3870…c3dbbacked Bebop12c225$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xece5…6de0backed Black Phoenix45c223.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4813449.3%66 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x061e…5ab8backed Bebop41c219.51$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-77.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Bebop45c212.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.774,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Bebop38c207$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6728651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7721…e537backed Bebop41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Black Phoenix57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.431749.5%157 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Bebop38c178.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1462248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a0…8189backed Bebop11c178.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Black Phoenix74c176.47$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.162,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed Bebop16c174.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4914248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Bebop48c174.71$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8641853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Bebop48c166.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808153.1%43 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked Bebop40c163.57$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.578441.7%35 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed Bebop38c150.31$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5728052.9%148 W · 132 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd83…d102backed Bebop12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810047%47 W · 53 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1fe…e21fbacked Bebop38c119.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.612448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Bebop55c118.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5324558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc2…0208backed Bebop12c114.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7140%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd06…b333backed Bebop25c107.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+48.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc41b…87c5backed Bebop40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaac2…df3abacked Bebop48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Black Phoenix49c99.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0461054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Black Phoenix34c96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.722,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed Bebop39c95.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2119454.1%105 W · 89 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bebop55c93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.61,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed Bebop14c90$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.632544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Bebop12c86.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0821755.8%121 W · 96 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Bebop48c83.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.324152.3%126 W · 115 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Bebop21c82.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5949850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7fe…0fc3backed Bebop41c74.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Bebop48c70.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3471951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a9…e7d8backed Bebop37c63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.47252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Black Phoenix51c60.68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.732,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Black Phoenix45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335736.8%21 W · 36 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.