TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HOTUof HOTU, Infinite
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Infinite40c70,398$28,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,335.5912950.4%65 W · 64 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Infinite39c56,943$22,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,450.815,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed HOTU60c42,607$25,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,966.6521353.5%114 W · 99 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked HOTU63c25,000$15,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,300.977052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed HOTU61c15,990$9,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,235.9823043.9%101 W · 129 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked HOTU60c15,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0006454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff7b…1659backed HOTU60c12,800$7,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1701553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked HOTU59c12,500$7,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,124.991764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Infinite37c8,232$3,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.6967951.4%349 W · 330 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Infinite37c7,744$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.2585358.3%497 W · 356 L+60.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c7d…83edbacked HOTU59c7,500$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0751145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Infinite40c6,250$2,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,481.0921953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed HOTU61c5,046$3,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.3337946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Infinite39c3,839$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.8240341.7%168 W · 235 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Infinite39c3,506$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.5647655%262 W · 214 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Infinite40c3,500$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39032461.4%199 W · 125 L+23.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked HOTU61c2,983$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.0653135%186 W · 345 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU60c2,550$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.817,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked HOTU59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0252941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba4f…b37bbacked HOTU61c2,267$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8841729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed HOTU63c2,233$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.0320161.7%124 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Infinite39c2,092$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.522,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked HOTU60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed HOTU60c2,000$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8051,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa359…4387backed Infinite44c1,967$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.222133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Infinite39c1,743$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.962,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked HOTU66c1,510$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.51,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf2…2ce6backed HOTU62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5703256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Infinite38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50061055.9%341 W · 269 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed HOTU58c1,110$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.6452150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Infinite19c1,102$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.956,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed HOTU60c1,035$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4141,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked HOTU59c1,030$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.322266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c5…7205backed HOTU59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+45.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed HOTU57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked HOTU60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked HOTU60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked HOTU74c941.09$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.783,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0e…bd73backed HOTU60c917$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.84944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed HOTU60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+58.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed HOTU60c767.5$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.638839.4%153 W · 235 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Infinite40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed HOTU60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013142%55 W · 76 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed HOTU68c732.95$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7219447.4%92 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Infinite32c704.08$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.378939.5%312 W · 477 L-3.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked HOTU55c669.69$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.364850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c2…b18dbacked HOTU65c669.61$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.622138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed HOTU78c649.82$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8226461%161 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Infinite37c619.51$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2265254.3%354 W · 298 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed HOTU61c615$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.8555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0286…eb6cbacked HOTU62c583.65$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Infinite39c536.94$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.155,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Infinite38c500.15$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0610136.6%37 W · 64 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ff3…9b05backed Infinite40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked HOTU61c496$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4422645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed HOTU61c492.58$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.751,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Infinite21c480$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.152,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed HOTU60c466.09$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0537848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed HOTU62c453.8$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4455232.4%179 W · 373 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Infinite27c443$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5238032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefe8…1edbbacked Infinite40c427.36$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9910151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Infinite13c405.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.182,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x040d…417abacked HOTU63c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.835856.9%33 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Infinite39c381.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020046%92 W · 108 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed HOTU60c376.57$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6348939.7%194 W · 295 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Infinite19c374$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.345,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Infinite31c338.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10596945.6%442 W · 527 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed HOTU63c321.59$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9961654.9%338 W · 278 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed HOTU62c308.77$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5429447.3%139 W · 155 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Infinite29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8733839.9%135 W · 203 L+12.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Infinite40c298.11$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2620854.8%114 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked HOTU56c297.61$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9522647.3%107 W · 119 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b2f…8a03backed Infinite7c282.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202123.8%5 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Infinite37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040455.4%224 W · 180 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Infinite18c259$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7489630.7%275 W · 621 L-64.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x061e…5ab8backed Infinite40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-77.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeeae…a2fabacked Infinite40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed HOTU55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.569253.6%371 W · 321 L-23.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed Infinite34c238.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.820147.3%95 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed HOTU71c231.9$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.041,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked HOTU62c218.65$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6529156.7%165 W · 126 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed HOTU77c205$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9543175.9%327 W · 104 L+24.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Infinite40c201$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.46344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed HOTU63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7418148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Infinite14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Infinite39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7877247.8%369 W · 403 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d91…3578backed Infinite40c192.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778951.7%46 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6016…1ab5backed Infinite40c176.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1210457.7%60 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed HOTU63c166$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4251446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked HOTU60c163$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.435538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked HOTU62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2913650.7%69 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…a895backed Infinite25c161.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked HOTU64c156.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5458149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x442f…e80fbacked Infinite40c156.24$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.881822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-9.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed HOTU63c150.61$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7344852.5%235 W · 213 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked HOTU61c145$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9449149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked HOTU60c143.67$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4792145.8%422 W · 499 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed HOTU61c142.39$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.537953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49e7…d352backed Infinite20c139.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde57…666fbacked HOTU60c131.5$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.65133.3%17 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.