CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Infinite - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87e003529bfaeaeea229b1e55a939b207a0095ae2cd310410c80848ae067cd5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, Infinite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Infinite | 5c | 5,030$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Infinite | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked HOTU | 63c | 1,055$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.1 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Infinite | 37c | 936.52$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.87 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed HOTU | 62c | 749.99$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed HOTU | 62c | 675.08$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.53 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Infinite | 17c | 604.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Infinite | 14c | 596.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed HOTU | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Infinite | 6c | 455.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Infinite | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Infinite | 14c | 185.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Infinite | 11c | 161.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed HOTU | 62c | 144.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Infinite | 18c | 129$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Infinite | 11c | 122$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Infinite | 13c | 101.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Infinite | 26c | 95.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Infinite | 19c | 74.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…98f9backed Infinite | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed HOTU | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked HOTU | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked HOTU | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed HOTU | 67c | 32.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…f593backed HOTU | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Infinite - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-InHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Infinite - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.