TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b0e…bd73

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$742
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$544.5
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$366.8
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.9
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs K27 (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$209.52
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,112.51
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,525.62
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.77
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.37
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Bbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,612Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,318.95
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.09
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.52
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$968.5
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$962Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$435.86
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,612Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,612.11
Counter-Strike: BIG vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 9z (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$201.6
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$459.33
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$582.78
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,221Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$735.08
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$726.74
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$189.07
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$88.48
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,212.72
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Valorant — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$141.04
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,002.34
Valorant: SaD Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$776.63
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,845.47
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MIBR LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,169.14
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.5
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.73
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.14
Valorant: Twisted Saints Esports vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Abacked Twisted Saints Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$980.35
Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked MIBR LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.68
Valorant: SaD Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+194.4%+$1,209.04
Valorant: M80 vs Nightblood Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Nightblood Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$253
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Playoffsbacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.8
Valorant: FOKUS vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$127.6
Valorant: MIBR vs Global Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.66
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$118.08
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Dynamo Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040.51
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$111.03
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Federico Coria vs Oliver Bondingbacked Oliver Bonding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$392
Brescia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$51.87
ITF Zhengzhou: Varvara Panshina vs Jiaqi Wangbacked Varvara Panshina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Nottingham 2 (Doubles): Gonzalez/McDonald vs Faria/Rochabacked Gonzalez/McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$383.33
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$377.21
ITF Milano: Manuel Mazza vs Marcello Serafinibacked Manuel Mazza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.69
Brescia: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Xiaodi Youbacked Ane Mintegi Del Olmo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$134.52
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguezbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$128.31
Bratislava: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Alexander Donskibacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$62.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$698.25
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$148.71
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,459.34
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$412.56
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.87
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 7 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.16
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,555.15
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,626Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$974
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GAIS win on 2026-07-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,651.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$615
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.