Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will GAIS win on 2026-07-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad90cedb9f3b83cc56c53b43d8c8f5ce9b701bca91d1503619700b798ee0ac86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 52c | 15,249$7,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,279.02 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 47c | 4,060$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.57 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 46c | 3,669$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.86 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…bd73backed No | 46c | 3,591$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked No | 47c | 2,341$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 59c | 2,064$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.17 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…035dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,861$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 1,814$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.67 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed No | 50c | 1,562$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 1,544$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.17 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 51c | 1,268$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.21 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed No | 49c | 1,120$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.47 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 54c | 681.5$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.49 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 48c | 640.99$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.26 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 617.67$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.48 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 554.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.74 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked No | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…c90bbacked Yes | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked No | 46c | 430$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 51c | 400$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 57c | 351.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.42 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20d…83aebacked Yes | 55c | 305$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 53c | 300.91$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Yes | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 49c | 199.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 198$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 197.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked No | 49c | 193.65$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2f…c08dbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 55c | 181.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 49c | 180$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 47c | 149.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 49c | 118.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked No | 45c | 107.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…4d1bbacked Yes | 52c | 103.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…9faebacked No | 52c | 96.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…105dbacked Yes | 55c | 87.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 48c | 86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 47c | 80.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 48c | 79.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Yes | 53c | 62.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 45c | 58.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 20c | 54.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed No | 35c | 54.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 53c | 52.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 53c | 48.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…0090backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed No | 25c | 45.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…53b8backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 53c | 34.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 54c | 33.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed Yes | 52c | 29.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812c…b81fbacked Yes | 55c | 28.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 48c | 24.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 79c | 24.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 74c | 23.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…1c8cbacked Yes | 55c | 20.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GAIS win on 2026-07-12?this page
- Will GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg end in a draw?No won
- Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-07-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.