TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9c3…32a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst WNBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6355.6%35 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$154.68
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$22.33
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$110.19
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+236.1%+$59.03
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.03
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$882
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+101%+$142.65
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$277.38
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.02
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$243.7
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.86
Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Will Viking FK win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$35.29
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$47.95
Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)backed SK Brann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)backed Rosenborg BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+171.3%+$128.48
Will GAIS win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$61.36
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$54.31
Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)backed IK Sirius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$88.04
Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)backed IK Sirius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 17 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$37.22
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$30.63
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$103.57
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$121.94
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$56.58
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$40.38
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$69.23
All 12 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)backed FK ML Viciebsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$81.25
Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)backed FK Borac Banja Luka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)backed The New Saints FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$45.97
All 4 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)backed Nashville SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.