Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a64810764f487fd9a33a0bb39eb901c74fadae3dbdc0f4db1ea15a482e6d689
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FCof Chengdu Rongcheng FC, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 53c | 6,773$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,581.67 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 47c | 2,093$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.64 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 38c | 1,568$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.6 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 53c | 1,137$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.86 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80be…7ee7backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 55c | 1,089$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 56c | 703.48$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.42 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 50c | 573.02$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 47c | 531$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.43 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 47c | 531$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.43 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 49c | 530.77$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.52 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 45c | 439.83$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.91 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…19c8backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 49c | 410.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 50c | 404.67$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 66c | 394.96$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.66 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 46c | 334.68$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 50c | 332.27$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.13 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 45c | 294.07$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 44c | 281.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.01 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 55c | 272.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 47c | 269.97$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.36 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 50c | 201.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 42c | 200.18$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 62c | 161.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 47c | 160.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 39c | 157.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 42c | 109$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 45c | 100.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb6…f3fabacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 39c | 90.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 51c | 86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 46c | 81.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 50c | 74.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…0ecfbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 50c | 60.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 46c | 60.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…6c45backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 50c | 59.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 36c | 59.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 37c | 53.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 73c | 34.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…ce0bbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 45c | 33.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 44c | 32.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 46c | 32.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 43c | 25.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 52c | 21.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 51c | 20.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.