Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3abb39e5360ae1078541791026539d9062f2e197618ba272093258cf8a84885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 42c | 4,524$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.41 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 3,338$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.34 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 21c | 3,205$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.43 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Under | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 1,529$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.47 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 26c | 769.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 38c | 506.02$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.31 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 35c | 499.83$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.94 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 36c | 432.62$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.25 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 63c | 322$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.06 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 60c | 299.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Over | 44c | 266.02$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 210.35$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Under | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 60c | 171.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 32c | 137.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 41c | 128.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 59c | 121$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 65c | 109.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 49c | 106.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 64c | 102.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 101.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 63c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 66c | 70.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 61c | 66.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 30c | 63.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 44c | 62.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a9…a2c9backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 61c | 44.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 61c | 40.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 43c | 39.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 65c | 28.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 66c | 28.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2153backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 63c | 23.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 69c | 23.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 68c | 21.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 65c | 15.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…26edbacked Under | 63c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.