Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6d070056627709c3e9dd92e5daef582a7d59ffeb4d152e33837551f8ec16294
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb30…b74bbacked No | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…2ae3backed No | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked No | 13c | 3,158$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7b…d719backed No | 15c | 2,715$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked No | 11c | 1,300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 551.98$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.84 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 356.31$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 266.91$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.15 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 48c | 249.19$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.63 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 167.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd004…d54abacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 51c | 140.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed No | 52c | 87.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 49c | 83.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 28c | 74.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 18c | 57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 44c | 48.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…2278backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed No | 51c | 39.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 54c | 25.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.