TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,686 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf16e…43afbacked Under1c9,938$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.382934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under1c6,679$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0319340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under20c5,975$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.8912639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6d…33e2backed Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick3cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255750.9%29 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+151%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cd2…4cb9backed Under1c2,400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Under1c2,269$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.69616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick3cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over77c1,711$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.625,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under19c999.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under20c781.5$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.334847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.233360.6%20 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under24c638$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0320638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Under2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick5cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over69c419.99$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.86642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5714310.5%15 W · 128 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Under14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012535.2%44 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under18c180$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.414446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under17c122.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.872842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under18c116.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.634443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc4…4870backed Under19c110.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.072133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346479.7%51 W · 13 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Under19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192653.8%14 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+79.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaef0…b68abacked Under15c99.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+91.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bf4…a1b6backed Under27c90$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9e…9a7abacked Under29c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd49e…3836backed Over73c90$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88d1…cbd3backed Under37c89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f60…63fcbacked Over63c89$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb6…1f31backed Over74c88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24d3…7a05backed Over71c88$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7535…579abacked Under29c88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc90f…37e7backed Under26c88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3858…234bbacked Over71c85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.65450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4711…d44cbacked Over78c78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+71.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4748…3f57backed Over68c78$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+53%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe09c…41b1backed Under22c78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c9…0d7abacked Under32c78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2cb…0c27backed Over76c77$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+64.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x053d…bd4dbacked Under24c77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2097…cc08backed Over73c76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fdb…0060backed Under27c76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5893…f124backed Over70c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+52.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf869…118fbacked Over73c75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0495…b216backed Under30c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…5e20backed Under27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over71c73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.171,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ca…fde3backed Over67c72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4073…7274backed Under33c72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80dd…0c24backed Over68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4289…f15fbacked Under32c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6185…1b48backed Over73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ea…3080backed Under27c70$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae3…585cbacked Over69c69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.39580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+54.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d2…06eebacked Under31c69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa886…e656backed Over69c66$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7928…0418backed Under31c66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7374…d82abacked Under37c65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1c1…3466backed Under23c65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe011…07c4backed Over63c65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x719e…ab05backed Over77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+68.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf04f…b762backed Under31c63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b2f…42ccbacked Over69c63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.53475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x304e…711abacked Under36c59.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb54…be08backed Over64c59.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ac…0170backed Over70c56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032a…c039backed Under30c56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ce…1277backed Under38c54.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under19c53.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.214744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x314a…7f6cbacked Over73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312d…f50ebacked Under27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7bb…fd60backed Over74c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6a…d9c0backed Under26c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a3…38f3backed Over62c24.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Over77c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.463652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.747546.7%35 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c78…e29bbacked Over71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.358067.5%54 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over80c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.640550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.