WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3079a41ef22a91078708e638c374af0ccbbe0772096d4afb9fc011ca89e0a0f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 23,715$12,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,433.38 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 6,092$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.96 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 4,531$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 3,691$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.01 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 3,377$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.34 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 2,482$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 1,930$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.41 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 1,168$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.11 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.52 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Atlanta Dream | 56c | 929.69$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.06 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 861.4$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.47 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 42c | 766.55$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.93 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 724.65$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 613.3$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.28 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 510.42$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 501.24$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.6 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 501$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.48 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 473$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.66 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 438.23$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.04 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 416.47$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.74 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 373.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.94 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 353.12$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.51 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…c996backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 312.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 289.49$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 186$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7c…a9b9backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 143.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Atlanta Dream | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 117.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 113.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 105.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 103.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 99.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 89.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 87.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 84.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 78.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 59.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 54.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 46.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f84fbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 45.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 42.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 38.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…2ce7backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 38.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 38.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…b520backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 38.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Atlanta Dream | 34c | 38.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…f127backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…eca1backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Sparks | 39c | 32.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Atlanta Dream | 60c | 31.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4543…e693backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 27.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 23.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cba…351cbacked Atlanta Dream | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…59f1backed Atlanta Dream | 62c | 19.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 181.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.