WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2042fb2cb52200060b4f77eae94ebde5afd2c6975f2d8b93afdf1267da20e7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 53c | 9,298$4,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,370.77 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 47c | 6,547$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.09 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 2,342$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.43 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…5ac0backed Over | 54c | 1,554$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 51c | 1,174$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 907.47$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.66 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 49c | 890.88$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.64 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 8c | 831.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 704.6$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.42 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Under | 51c | 551.59$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Under | 2c | 526.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Under | 51c | 507.25$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.17 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 421.61$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 292.8$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.79 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 54c | 278.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…c873backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 53c | 179.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 61c | 173.93$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 49c | 158.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Over | 47c | 158.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 48c | 152.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 138.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a66…d749backed Under | 48c | 123.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Under | 45c | 114.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Under | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 46c | 105.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4543…e693backed Under | 54c | 105.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 103.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 52c | 102.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 72.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 43c | 66.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…b948backed Under | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…e37bbacked Over | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Under | 24c | 46.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a6…bfeebacked Under | 53c | 41.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Under | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 53c | 40.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 33.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 65c | 31.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 51c | 29.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 51c | 26.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…59f1backed Over | 53c | 22.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 56c | 21.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 21.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 181.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.