WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf113f18287a4f88f9031c3b6aaa6a26ee4d77b539c34c4fac351bfe4c66bcaa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 64c | 8,504$5,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.51 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 40c | 5,493$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.4 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Under | 23c | 4,673$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 40c | 3,729$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.65 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 5c | 2,524$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 60c | 2,243$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 1,732$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.12 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 59c | 1,140$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.26 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 57c | 534.18$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.03 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 30c | 500$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 36c | 153.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 62c | 144.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Over | 75c | 142.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 69c | 124$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 68c | 124$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 69c | 124$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 122.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 28c | 112$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Under | 31c | 97.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Over | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 28c | 95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…37b1backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 61c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…eca1backed Under | 44c | 45.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…f127backed Under | 44c | 45.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…b520backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 44.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…5c16backed Over | 65c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 59c | 35.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Over | 60c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Over | 63c | 31.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…1999backed Over | 60c | 31.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 60c | 19.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 60c | 17.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 181.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.