WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae6e377c4e28c1b47920f68339f6fae725e39146c573f8faab21ad0680e4b963
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 52c | 4,819$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.24 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 50c | 1,768$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.16 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 47c | 1,339$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.33 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 1,109$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.03 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,037$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.75 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Over | 50c | 930$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…244dbacked Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 567.9$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.27 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 492.87$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.65 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Under | 53c | 419.6$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.79 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 304.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Over | 52c | 198.47$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 176.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 167.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Over | 55c | 130.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 123.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 109.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…393fbacked Under | 47c | 106.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 50c | 85.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Over | 52c | 79.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 50c | 74.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 49c | 70.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Over | 51c | 66.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 49c | 58.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9884…85aabacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 51c | 46.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 48c | 45.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 49c | 41.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 47c | 35.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 26.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Over | 48c | 21.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b53…db22backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…1949backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 54c | 19.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 181.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.