WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e3032694b37404e092e9cd3196cd52a91eb312c5dd08e55ca65d19e26b58a15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 55c | 4,001$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.49 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 7c | 3,775$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.1 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 45c | 2,202$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.93 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 45c | 905.76$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.56 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 884.91$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.49 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 45c | 728.29$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.73 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 48c | 649.23$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.07 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 444.54$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 4c | 434.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 51c | 429.52$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.46 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 45c | 279.84$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.93 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 47c | 277.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…db42backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 154.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 45c | 125.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 114.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 106.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 53c | 102$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Over | 53c | 100.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 63c | 81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 49c | 71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 27c | 68.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 62c | 68.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Under | 47c | 65.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 55c | 57.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a58…5fb7backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 55.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 53c | 46.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 42.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 40c | 39.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 58c | 35.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 64c | 33.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 52c | 28.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…0e20backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 57c | 22.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 181.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.