Champions League · resolved market
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-07-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc10aa78f4b062c91c264369686fcbf633cd971b8b02ff259e9593045998d6dca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 45c | 6,335$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 21c | 3,202$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.44 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 78c | 2,100$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 10c | 2,026$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.47 | 449 | 33.6%151 W · 298 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 56c | 1,901$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.88 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 2c | 1,663$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 67c | 1,547$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.79 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 55c | 1,372$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.82 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 58c | 1,255$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.1 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 20c | 946.89$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 775.62$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.13 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 43c | 727.98$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.38 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…fb43backed Yes | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed No | 10c | 533.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 55c | 473.01$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Yes | 59c | 336$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 12c | 321.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 304$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 404 | 50.7%205 W · 199 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 304$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 303.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 56c | 251.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.12 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 43c | 249.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 394 | 42.9%169 W · 225 L | -23.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 5c | 194.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed No | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 59c | 149.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 55c | 148.73$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 55c | 138.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 122 | 19.7%24 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…5ce9backed Yes | 54c | 126.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 42c | 122.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 46c | 122.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 316 | 56.6%179 W · 137 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 80c | 117.92$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 315 | 56.5%178 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked No | 23c | 114$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Yes | 54c | 110.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 58c | 91.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 25c | 79.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 42c | 71.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 60.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 58c | 58.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Yes | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 55c | 34.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 55c | 29.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 45c | 29.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Yes | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f8…131abacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 75c | 15.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-07-15?this page
- Will FC Petrocub Hînceşti win on 2026-07-15?No won
- Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. FC Petrocub Hînceşti end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.