Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa048a8105975d80fe993f0ac0039fa55de9632ea6187d8f9a762290c1eb39b15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- IK Startof SK Brann, IK Start
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SK Brann | 31c | 5,794$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.56 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed SK Brann | 44c | 4,425$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed IK Start | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed IK Start | 71c | 3,301$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed IK Start | 58c | 2,000$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.53 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed IK Start | 56c | 765.02$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.09 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed IK Start | 56c | 417.56$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked IK Start | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.2 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SK Brann | 43c | 368.01$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed SK Brann | 44c | 239.61$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.43 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed SK Brann | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked SK Brann | 21c | 222.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed IK Start | 56c | 182.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed SK Brann | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed IK Start | 56c | 174.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed SK Brann | 42c | 161.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed IK Start | 56c | 151.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked SK Brann | 43c | 150.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked SK Brann | 43c | 127.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed SK Brann | 44c | 106.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SK Brann | 45c | 93.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked IK Start | 56c | 74.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…0ecfbacked IK Start | 57c | 72.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked SK Brann | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked SK Brann | 44c | 68.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed SK Brann | 44c | 63.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked IK Start | 56c | 53.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed IK Start | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked IK Start | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed SK Brann | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SK Brann | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed SK Brann | 43c | 34.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed SK Brann | 45c | 28.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed IK Start | 57c | 25.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…ffe8backed IK Start | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…75cebacked IK Start | 56c | 19.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)this page
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: IK Start O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: SK Brann O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: SK Brann O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)IK Start won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.