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Other European Leagues · resolved market

SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,361 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under55c11,784$6,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,316.846044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over25c5,745$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.422,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c5,297$4,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.787,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over22c3,300$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-56%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c2,600$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.595,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c2,037$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.492,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84010825%27 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over41c1,616$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.462931%9 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over45c1,444$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9918344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over45c1,053$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.655844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over45c1,049$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.9118343.7%80 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over42c943.94$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under58c652.96$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.2591148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under59c589.49$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.6992043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over45c555$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.751,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over45c555$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.751,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over45c555$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.751,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42fc…a43cbacked Under78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over14c294.29$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.562,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under78c255.5$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.212,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over44c221.27$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.862,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over44c176.49$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.441450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over19c169.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.347842.9%205 W · 273 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Over36c148.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.124827.1%13 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Under77c129.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.651861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over23c124.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over41c108$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2811841.5%49 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455560%33 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over44c92.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0612348%59 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7f…4a4abacked Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under59c83.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.224759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over19c81.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9287745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.559045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over44c74.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.161,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.637682.9%63 W · 13 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over45c52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.661,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022062.3%137 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a18…a0f3backed Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over34c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.497537.3%28 W · 47 L-9.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Over44c42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.482030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under80c36.76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.352483.3%20 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Under56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.241957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c34.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.281,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4548…e4b5backed Over43c26.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.333452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3d…52d3backed Under58c25.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9eb…75cebacked Under64c16.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.126100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.