Other European Leagues · resolved market
SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce9792fcdbb5d6548a9210fb2bf1c96e0d567eff60b2c82f35e4c147d0e4f5a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 1c | 5,875$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Under | 1c | 4,105$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 925.04$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 17c | 791$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.47 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 33c | 499.92$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.58 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 76c | 474.24$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.13 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 19c | 240.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…19c8backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Under | 14c | 182.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 52c | 92.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Over | 50c | 86.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 73c | 64.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc973…5d47backed Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Under | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…925dbacked Over | 66c | 44.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 76c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 70c | 25.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 1.5this page
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: IK Start O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: SK Brann O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. IK Start: SK Brann O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)IK Start won
- Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)IK Start won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.