TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-07-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,718
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,718 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56b4…a84bbacked Yes45c58,256$25,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,312.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+97%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No56c12,313$6,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,847.561,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c9,598$5,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,253.332,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No55c9,495$5,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,222.351723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No55c6,014$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,307.6989245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes43c5,774$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,283.633129%9 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95012545.6%57 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No52c4,284$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.012,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No55c4,000$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.96850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c3,071$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.581,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No55c2,560$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.922,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes41c2,375$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.211942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c2,311$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.891,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.992958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed No9c1,558$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.232433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes44c669.46$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.71,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Yes48c635.37$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No55c582.95$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.4447155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed No9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502020%4 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked No52c548.87$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.418843.2%38 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed No59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked Yes49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No56c497$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.3540550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No58c446$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3893446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No58c446$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.381,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No58c446$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.381,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed No52c440.38$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2294242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.782326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No55c410$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No10c384.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4619340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No52c349$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.320638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes49c324.1$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.46642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No13c298.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1696846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Yes43c250.66$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.673040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.933452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No56c239$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8430049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No58c217.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.371,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3914144%62 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffa3…08f0backed Yes43c209.3$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.31650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83bf…8aa4backed No54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb6…f3fabacked Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed No58c193.1$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7f…b3b9backed No58c193.1$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes47c182.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9814047.1%66 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No47c180.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.241,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes42c180$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.414446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No55c179.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5153946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9c3…32a1backed Yes42c178.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.571258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes57c153.92$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.851,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No56c144$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.364443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No55c141.16$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.641764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Yes46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.433844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed No38c110$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.337546.7%35 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No58c105.37$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617957%45 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes73c105$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.410454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes49c102.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.916765.7%44 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fc…d8f4backed No56c101.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1340%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5315035.3%53 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No24c97.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1737153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x381c…c62dbacked No54c95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No59c92.72$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6217058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No26c87.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9424448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No31c87.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2717630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No56c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No18c72.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1618851.6%97 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No58c70.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.132770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3893…8afbbacked Yes43c70$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No55c62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.154354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc783…8941backed Yes46c58.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.71145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x766d…836abacked Yes53c56.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaae5…6c45backed No55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No58c51.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2832654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No55c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9520256.4%114 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes61c48.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8356445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed No58c46.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.013557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.518941.6%37 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9016…7c89backed No27c46.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed No56c46.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa614…0bafbacked No29c43.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8766…4171backed Yes70c43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.84949%24 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4548…e4b5backed No57c34.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+37.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4828…b588backed No58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b7…04b2backed No57c34.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b89…23fbbacked No47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked No56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81735.3%6 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick61cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No48c29.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0813349.6%66 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Yes49c27.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.054045%18 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes71c26.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6784347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63fc…4a6cbacked No59c25.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed Yes69c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.443842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No57c22.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.944040%16 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No57c18.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.516759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed No57c17.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.034346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.