Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22c09d3056fc90dc3a6c12be85807e7473bff9d71943a6d0de544c99935e7e47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes | 30c | 4,675$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 12c | 3,199$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.91 | 245 | 23.3%57 W · 188 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 3,001$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.4 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,655$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.01 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 1c | 860$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 675.97$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.43 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 2c | 521.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 433.33$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 70c | 410$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 307.88$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 72c | 276.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 18c | 252.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…c9e2backed Yes | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 200.88$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 27c | 186$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…79cabacked Yes | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 56cpaid | -74%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 98.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 76.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Yes | 19c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 29c | 62.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cc…ad18backed Yes | 31c | 56.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 50.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 77cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 70c | 30.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 70c | 24.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 73c | 14.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…3903backed No | 73c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-11?this page
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-07-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.